Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Odds and Picks for Thursday, 12/25/25

U.S. Bank StadiumNFL Network
Lions
8-7
Lions
Thu Dec 25
Vikings
7-8
Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
Google News

Lions vs Vikings Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
MIN Vikings +6.0(-108)

The Detroit Lions will be hoping to bounce back from a brutal loss to the Steelers when they visit the NFC North rival Minnesota Vikings in Week 17 of the NFL season on Christmas Day. Detroit’s playoff aspirations are on life support following this past Sunday’s 29-24 home setback against Pittsburgh. It could not be any less complicated — the Lions have to win out and the Packers have to lose out in order to make the playoffs. I think the visitors should be able to take their first step toward staying alive with their own victory on Thursday, but asking them to cover 6 points against a decent opponent is probably too much. My Lions vs Vikings pick is for the home team against the spread.

Minnesota QB J.J. McCarthy left last weekend’s victory over the Giants with a hand injury, but x-rays were negative and he is questionable for Thursday. It sounds like the Michigan product has a decent chance to play. If that’s the case, the Vikings have a good shot at being competitive. After all, the Lions just aren’t themselves this season. They are a shocking 4-6 in their last 10 contests after starting the year 4-1, so the end is near at 8-7. These 2 teams also squared off in Minnesota during the 2024 regular season, when Detroit survived 31-29. The Vikings were much better back then, but so were the Lions. Another 1-score game is likely in the cards. Of course, all bets are off is the home side has to go with Max Brosmer instead of McCarthy.

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings prediction: Minnesota +6 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 44.5(-110)

The under correlates nicely with Vikings +6, as I’m not sure they can keep up in a shootout — even if McCarthy starts. Their offense just isn’t electrifying this season, and there have to be regrets about letting Sam Darnold walk. McCarthy has been okay at times in 2025, but he has still thrown more interceptions (12) than touchdown passes (11). The losing team in 6 of the Vikes’ last 7 outings has failed to reach the 20-point mark — and this is a stretch that includes 2 shutouts. As such, my Lions vs Vikings pick is Under 44.5.

Surprisingly, Detroit’s offense also fails to inspire much confidence these days. Although Jared Goff goes off pretty much every time out, his team is getting next to nothing from the running game. The Lions have not produced a 100-yard rusher since Week 12. Their leading rusher in 5 of the past 6 games has rushed for no more than 60 yards. They now face a solid Vikings defense that ranks #3 in the NFL against the pass and #12 in yards per rushing attempt allowed. I think both offenses will be held to reasonable numbers in this Christmas Day contest.

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings prediction: Under 44.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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