Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/09/25

Northwest StadiumFOX
Lions
5-3
Lions
Sun Nov 9
Commanders
3-6
Commanders
Washington Commanders
Google News

Lions vs Commanders Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
DET Lions -8.5(-105)

The Detroit Lions suddenly find themselves in a jam-packed race in the NFC North as they prepare to visit the Washington Commanders in Week 10 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. Detroit has dropped 2 of its last 3 contests — and following last week’s setback against Minnesota, all 4 teams in the division are separated by just a single game. It goes without saying that the Lions (5-3) will be playing with extreme urgency this weekend. That is part of the reason why my Lions vs Commanders pick is on the visitors to win and cover. It’s not like head coach Dan Campbell’s squad is in crisis mode. Its result against the Vikings in Week 9 is the only loss that can even come close to being considered a “bad” one; Detroit’s other 2 are at Green Bay and at Kansas City.

A date with Washington — even on the road — should be just what the doctor ordered for Detroit. Quarterback Jayden Daniels infamously suffered a dislocated elbow while trailing 38-7 with fewer than 8 minutes remaining in last week’s blowout loss to Seattle. Daniels is obviously out, meaning Marcus Mariota will be back under center for the Commanders. Mariota has plenty of experience and has already started 3 games this year, but he is not anything more than a game manager at this point in his career. When the Commanders are so inferior to the Lions at most positions, you would think the QB would have to do something special to make up for those deficiencies. Mariota, though, is not that guy. If anything, it’s the Lions who have a significant quarterback advantage with Jared Goff. Give me Detroit to win big.

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders prediction: Lions -8.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon
Game Totals Pick
Under 49.5(-108)

Detroit’s offense has cooled off a bit in recent weeks — at least relative to its lofty standards. Since producing 52, 38, 34 and 37 points during a 4-game stretch, it has since put up 17, 24 and 24 points. Goff has completed less than 70 percent of his passes in each of the past 2 contests; he had previously done that just once this entire season. In 3 of the last 4 outings, the Lions’ leading rusher has gained 65 yards or fewer. Their leading rusher had churned out at least 91 yards in the previous 3 games. That is part of the reason why my Lions vs Commanders pick is Under 49.5.

Of course, the Commanders’ offense inspires far less confidence. In the last game started by Mariota, they scored only 7 points against the Chiefs. Running back Austin Ekeler was lost very early in the season to a torn Achilles’ and Jacory Croskey-Merritt’s brief shining star has dimmed. Croskey-Merritt has rushed for 33, 25 and 38 yards in the past 3 outings and he isn’t a factor in the passing game (8 receptions on 12 targets for 63 yards this whole season). JCM is questionable for Sunday with a tooth issue and receiver Terry McLaurin (quadriceps) is also questionable.

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders prediction: Under 49.5 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon
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Ricky Dimon

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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