Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for Thanksgiving NFL Week 13 2025 for Today, 11/27/25

Ford FieldFOX
Packers
Packers
Today
Lions
Lions
WLLWW
Last 5
WLWLW
7-3-1Record7-4
4-7-0ATS Record6-5-0
5-6O/U Record6-5

Vote on who will win!

Detroit Lions

Packers vs Lions Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
GB Packers Win(+125)

Thanksgiving Day features a trio of excellent NFL games, and one of the most consequential matchups of the weekend comes in the NFC North, where the Detroit Lions are set to host the Green Bay Packers in a rematch of a Week 1 contest in which Green Bay dominated the proceedings. Both of these teams have been up-and-down all season long, with the Lions struggling to generate consistent success against strong defenses without the services of Ben Johnson as offensive coordinator, while the Packers are also searching for more consistency on a week-to-week basis on offense. Even in last week’s convincing win over Minnesota, Jordan Love and company were still held to less than 300 total yards of offense and largely benefitted from being plus-three in turnovers. However, what Green Bay does have is a very strong defense, which has the ability to generate pressure on Jared Goff and force the veteran quarterback into mistakes, much like we saw in the Week 1 meeting between these teams. As long as the Packers can somewhat limit the effectiveness of Jahmyr Gibbs on the ground, they should do a solid job of getting this Detroit offense off the field.

As for the hosts, the Lions have typically been an excellent team at home in the Dam Campbell era, but it has been tough sledding for Detroit in its recent home games. In fact, the Lions have been struggling against inferior competition, with Detroit losing outright as a significant favorite to the Vikings and needing overtime to get past the lowly Giants last week. This is not the same offense that we are used to seeing out of the Lions, and Johnson’s absence has clearly been felt in the first season with a new play-caller at the controls. On the other side of the ball, Detroit’s defense has allowed a combined 54 points in its last 2 home games against the likes of J.J. McCarthy and Jameis Winston. That doesn’t bode well for the Lions in this NFC North showdown.

Packers vs Lions prediction: Packers ML (+125) available at time of publishing. Playable to +115.

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
B. Wright (DET) to score a TD(+320)

As of publication, Brock Wright is questionable heading into Thanksgiving Thursday’s matchup against the Packers. He sustained a neck injury in the 2nd quarter of last week’s win over the Giants but finished the game, playing 60 snaps against New York on Sunday. He didn’t participate in the Lions’ walkthrough on Tuesday, so his status is very much in question. Nonetheless, without Sam LaPorta for the rest of the season, Wright gets plugged into a loaded offense that scored 4 touchdowns in an overtime win last week.

Player Rushing Yards Pick
J. Love (GB) - O 9.5 yds(-118)

The Packers do not call a whole lot of designed runs for their quarterback, but Love will probably be under duress a fair amount on Thursday – forcing him to improvise. It would be no surprise if he is forced to tuck it and run more than a few times in this matchup against Aidan Hutchinson and a Detroit defense that ranks eighth in the NFL with 32 sacks (Hutchinson has 8.5). The Lions have faced the second-most QB rushing attempts in the entire league (63), which have turned into 212 yards. Love has recorded double-digit rushing yards in 7 of the last 10 outings. Against Detroit he produced a 23-yard performance last season and a 39-yard effort during the 2023 campaign. 

Game Totals Pick
Under 49.5(-110)

While games involving Detroit at Ford Field have had the propensity to sail lover the total, this is an instance where I’m bullish on a lower-scoring game given how both of these offenses have looked of late. Yes, Detroit did score 34 points against the Giants a week ago, but the offense was far from crisp and it really took a couple of tremendous individual effort plays from Jahmyr Gibbs in order to come up with pivotal touchdowns against a Giants rushing defense that is among the worst in football. The Packers present a much tougher matchup, and we saw Green Bay completely bottle up Goff, Gibbs and company earlier this season. On the other side, the Packers offense is dealing with a litany of injuries at the skill positions and Green Bay is still very much a run-first team at the moment. With that in mind, let’s look for a grind-it-out affair in this NFC North battle.

Under 49.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 49.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
I. TeSlaa (DET) to score a TD(+500)

To wrap up our Packers vs Lions TD scorer best bets, we’ll back another Lions pass catcher who flies under the radar — Isaac TeSlaa, the 3rd-round rookie out of Arkansas. TeSlaa is another member of the Lions with an injury tag heading into TNF. Still, he participated in Tuesday’s walkthrough and should be another focal point of the Lions offense after playing over 40% of the snaps on Sunday.

With 4 Lions skill players, Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, David Montgomery and Jameson Williams, all having odds shorter than +200, I’m willing to take shots on an offense with an implied team total of 26 points and a total of nearly 50 points.

Player Receiving Yards Pick
B. Wright (DET) - O 23.5 yds(-110)

Going up against a stingy Packers defense, the Lions will probably have to do some improvising in this matchup. No matter how prolific the offense, zeroing in on the usual suspects like Amon-Ra St. Brow and Jahmyr Gibbs is unlikely to work against Green Bay for a full 60 minutes. In other words, look for Wright to enjoy a piece of the action on Thursday. With star tight end Sam LaPorta out for the season, Wright now finds himself atop the depth chart. He has been targeted 11 times over the past 2 contests, making 5 receptions for 37 yards. That includes a 29-yard effort during this past week’s hard-fought victory over the Giants. The Notre Dame product now faces a Packers defense that has surrendered the eighth-most catches to opposing tight ends in 2025 (68), which have led to 512 yards (46.5 per game).

Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
B. Wright (DET) to score a TD(+320)

As of publication, Brock Wright is questionable heading into Thanksgiving Thursday’s matchup against the Packers. He sustained a neck injury in the 2nd quarter of last week’s win over the Giants but finished the game, playing 60 snaps against New York on Sunday. He didn’t participate in the Lions’ walkthrough on Tuesday, so his status is very much in question. Nonetheless, without Sam LaPorta for the rest of the season, Wright gets plugged into a loaded offense that scored 4 touchdowns in an overtime win last week.

Player Rushing Yards Pick
J. Love (GB) - O 9.5 yds(-118)

The Packers do not call a whole lot of designed runs for their quarterback, but Love will probably be under duress a fair amount on Thursday – forcing him to improvise. It would be no surprise if he is forced to tuck it and run more than a few times in this matchup against Aidan Hutchinson and a Detroit defense that ranks eighth in the NFL with 32 sacks (Hutchinson has 8.5). The Lions have faced the second-most QB rushing attempts in the entire league (63), which have turned into 212 yards. Love has recorded double-digit rushing yards in 7 of the last 10 outings. Against Detroit he produced a 23-yard performance last season and a 39-yard effort during the 2023 campaign. 

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
I. TeSlaa (DET) to score a TD(+500)

To wrap up our Packers vs Lions TD scorer best bets, we’ll back another Lions pass catcher who flies under the radar — Isaac TeSlaa, the 3rd-round rookie out of Arkansas. TeSlaa is another member of the Lions with an injury tag heading into TNF. Still, he participated in Tuesday’s walkthrough and should be another focal point of the Lions offense after playing over 40% of the snaps on Sunday.

With 4 Lions skill players, Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, David Montgomery and Jameson Williams, all having odds shorter than +200, I’m willing to take shots on an offense with an implied team total of 26 points and a total of nearly 50 points.

Player Receiving Yards Pick
B. Wright (DET) - O 23.5 yds(-110)

Going up against a stingy Packers defense, the Lions will probably have to do some improvising in this matchup. No matter how prolific the offense, zeroing in on the usual suspects like Amon-Ra St. Brow and Jahmyr Gibbs is unlikely to work against Green Bay for a full 60 minutes. In other words, look for Wright to enjoy a piece of the action on Thursday. With star tight end Sam LaPorta out for the season, Wright now finds himself atop the depth chart. He has been targeted 11 times over the past 2 contests, making 5 receptions for 37 yards. That includes a 29-yard effort during this past week’s hard-fought victory over the Giants. The Notre Dame product now faces a Packers defense that has surrendered the eighth-most catches to opposing tight ends in 2025 (68), which have led to 512 yards (46.5 per game).

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Top Trends
Game Totals

The Over is 7-3 in the Packers' last 5 games on the road and the Lions' last 5 at home combined.

Point Spread

The Packers are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games.

Money Line

The Packers have won 3 straight road games.

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