Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 01/04/26

The 2025 NFL season will come to an end for the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders when these 2 AFC West foes clash in Week 18 on Sunday afternoon. Neither team is going to the playoffs — not even close. Even against a team playing as poorly as Kansas City is right now, Las Vegas is pretty much an automatic fade. When the Raiders are getting less than a touchdown, it’s a can’t–miss opportunity — regardless of the opponent. My Chiefs vs Raiders pick is for the visitors to win and cover. Las Vegas was awful even when it was trying to win games earlier in the season. Now head coach Pete Carroll’s club is making no secret about its disinterest — and perhaps even its desire to lose. In Week 17, the Raiders faced the Giants in what was a battle for a stranglehold on the #1 pick in the 2026 draft. Having already shut down their 2 best players — defensive end Maxx Crosby and tight end Brock Bowers — for the season, Las Vegas unsurprisingly got clobbered by New York 34-10. That’s right; the Raiders lost to the other worst team in football by 24 points. 
 
Kansas City may be wrapping up a horrendous season, but at least you can count on it playing hard through the finish line. The Chiefs lost to the Broncos by only 7 points on Christmas in a game that was competitive from start to finish. Their offense is obviously a problem with Patrick Mahomes sidelined, but it doesn’t have to be very good to comfortably beat Las Vegas. Moreover, head coach Andy Reid’s squad is essentially playing on a mini-bye. Give Reid extra preparation time — even for a meaningless game — and good things usually happen. I’m backing K.C. with confidence.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction: Chiefs -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.

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