HomeNFLNFL PredictionsRams vs Bears Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Divisional Round

Rams vs Bears Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Divisional Round for Sunday, 01/18/26

Updated: 4:16 AM ET Jan 15, 2026

Soldier FieldNBC

Rams

6:30 PM ETSun Jan 18

Bears

WLLWW	Last 5	WWLLW
13-5	Record	12-6
12-6-0	ATS Record	11-6-1
11-7	O/U Record	9-9

Rams vs Bears Best Bets

Point Spread PickBest Bet

LA Rams -3.5(-115)

Reasoning

Four of six road teams won during NFL Wild Card weekend, starting with the Rams’ 34-31 victory at Carolina. Although Los Angeles failed to cover as 10.5-point road favorites, the Rams avenged a 31-28 defeat to the Panthers from late November. Los Angeles squandered an early 14-0 lead, but QB Matthew Stafford hit TE Colby Parkinson for the go-ahead score in the final minute, marking the fourth lead change in the fourth quarter. The Rams travel to frigid Chicago on Sunday night, where temperatures are expected to be below 20 degrees during the day and around 6 degrees at night.

Chicago rallied from a 21-3 halftime deficit to stun Green Bay, 31-27 for the franchise’s first playoff win since 2010. The Bears scored 25 points in the fourth quarter, highlighted by a pair of TD passes from QB Caleb Williams in his playoff debut. The former top pick finished with 361 passing yards and 2 TDs, marking his first 300+ yard passing performance of the season. Chicago somehow came back in spite of not creating a takeaway after leading the league at +22 in turnovers in the regular season. The Bears have won seven of their last eight games at Soldier Field since falling apart in the season-opening defeat to the Vikings.

For the 2nd straight week, the Bears are listed as a home underdog and the Rams are a road favorite. LA posted a 5-2 ATS mark as a road favorite, including the blowout of Jacksonville in London. The two non-covers came as a favorite of more than a TD in losses to Atlanta and Carolina, but all five covers came by at least 10 points. The Bears have put together an 8-2 ATS record in the role of a dog, including a 2-0 ATS mark at home. The Rams aren’t used to the cold, but let’s back the road favorite here to advance to the NFC Championship.

Rams vs Bears prediction: Rams -3.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 4.

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Rams vs Bears Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick

Under 48.5(-110)

Reasoning

The weather will be frightful on Sunday evening at Soldier Field, hovering around 6 degrees. That doesn’t automatically call for an Under, as both teams are coming off high-scoring affairs in the Wild Card round. The Rams topped the 34-point mark for the fifth time in the last six games in the 34-31 roller-coaster victory over the Panthers last Saturday. Los Angeles is in the midst of a 7-game Over streak and owns an 11-7 Over mark this season. Chicago rallied to stun Green Bay, 31-27 last Saturday night, marking the fourth time the Bears have scored exactly 31 points. The Bears have cashed consecutive Overs only twice this season with the last instance coming in Weeks 8 and 9.

Chicago hit the Over in the season opening loss to Minnesota, but proceeded to finish Under the total in six of the final seven regular season contests at Soldier Field. The Under was on its way to cashing in the Wild Card matchup with Green Bay, trailing 21-6 going into the fourth quarter on a 46.5 total. However, the NFC North rivals combined for 31 fourth quarter points, including 25 from Chicago to cruise to the second Over in three matchups. Chicago’s defense was sliced up by Green Bay QB Jordan Love, who threw for 323 yards and 4 TDs. The Bears allowed the fourth-most yards per game in the regular season at 361.8, and gave up 227.2 passing yards, which sat 22nd in the league.

The total is sitting at 48.5 as the Rams are 5-2 to the Over in their last seven games with a total of 48.5 or higher. The Bears were 2-2-1 to the Over on totals of more than 48.5, but were 2-1 to the Under at home. Los Angeles has lit up the scoreboard this season and especially the last six weeks, but after seeing both teams put up incredible scoring results in the Wild Card round, let’s lean towards the Under in this chilly Chicago matchup on Sunday night.

Rams vs Bears pick: Under 48.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Show Bio

Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.

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3:00 PM ETSun Jan 18

Sunday's NFL Divisional Round parlay

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Game Totals

11 of the Rams' 18 games this season have exceeded the total points line.

Money Line

The Rams have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Bears.

Point Spread

The Rams went 11-6 against the spread in the regular season, but failed to cover against the Panthers last week.

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