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Hello Millions
Los Angeles Rams

Rams vs Seahawks Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFC Championship Game for Today, 01/25/26

Lumen FieldFOX
Rams
14-5
Rams
Today
Seahawks
15-3
Seahawks

Vote on who will win!

Seattle Seahawks

Rams vs Seahawks Best Bets

Money Line PickBest Bet
LA Rams Win(+125)

With only 3 games left in the NFL season, we will do our best not to regurgitate the same data points and factoids that have built up all year. By this point, you know who these teams are.

That doesn’t change the fact that the NFC championship game is wildly intriguing for many reasons. Los Angeles and Seattle are 2 of the biggest rivals in the NFL, neck and neck at the top of the NFC West for the last 4 months. Sunday will mark their 3rd meeting this season. The mutual familiarity certainly makes handicapping it a tougher gig. In short, there won’t be many (if any) surprises for the athletes or coaches that could provide an edge for prospective bettors. For example, the Rams have seen the nuances and vigor of the Seattle defense, as the Seahawks have seen the explosive, dynamic qualities of the high-octane Los Angeles offense. Neither will be caught off guard.

And if we add up some of the statistics from their previous 2 games this season, you’ll find they performed remarkably similar:

  • Yards — Rams: 830, Seahawks: 829
  • Points — Rams: 58, Seahawks: 57
  • Time of Possession — Rams: 62:44, Seahawks: 63:63
  • Plays — Rams: 138, Seahawks: 142

There is, however, a very clear edge at quarterback. Sam Darnold has completed 2 consecutive exceptional seasons as the thrower of 2 separate offenses. With the Vikings and Seahawks, he’s lost just 6 regular-season games the last 2 years. That’s extremely impressive. But the playoffs are a different story.

Darnold wasn’t needed much last Saturday, since the Seahawks’ special teams and defense created an immediate 17-0 lead. He threw the ball just 17 times, completing 12 of his passes for a humble 124 yards. Markets responded positively because they had no other choice, but that doesn’t mean last Saturday meant anything to determine Darnold’s playoff poise (or lack thereof). 

In his only other playoff game as a professional quarterback, he was awful. Even more compelling, the loss was against the very same Rams. A budding defense that’s matured and shown more consistency this season (10th in total defensive EPA), the Rams rattled Darnold last January, forcing him into 9 sacks, a forced fumble and an interception. We’d argue he had better offensive talent in Minnesota (although his 2024 Minnesota squad and this year’s Seahawks offense are both 15th in total EPA), too. 

Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay have been here before. As good as Seattle’s defense is, the Rams went up and down the field and gained 581 yards in Lumen Field just 1 month ago. Stafford has been unstoppable this season, which is why he’s the odds-on favorite (-450 at FanDuel) to win his first NFL MVP award. Seattle’s defense is scary good and their home-field advantage is real, but the Rams have championship experience and we know that they’re clutch in big moments. Darnold still needs to prove it.

Rams vs Seahawks best bet: Rams ML (+125) available at time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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Chris R. Farley

Rams vs Seahawks Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Under 47.5(-110)

The Rams’ best unit is their offense, and the Seahawks’ best unit is their defense. To our readers, I’m sure both statements will receive the proverbial “duh.” The greater point is this game’s total, which is curiously high at 47.5, is tough to evaluate when the Rams have the ball. 

LA’s offense has been one of the best in the NFL without deviation (2nd overall in total EPA behind the Patriots, who had a far easier schedule). From our perspective, there is no better group in the league. In their last matchup, the Rams gained 581 yards. That reality hardly supports a narrative where Seattle’s defense will limit Stafford and company on Sunday, especially considering it was only 4 weeks ago. The Rams also outpaced the Seahawks in first downs (26 to 22) and trips to the red zone, entering scoring territory on 6 different occasions. This season, the Seahawks have given up fewer points than any other defense in the league (16.6), but against the Rams those numbers inflate (21, 37). 

Of course, the Seahawks’ defense and special teams are also capable of scoring on their own or creating easy scoring opportunities for their offense. We saw that multiple times last week. The Seattle offense depends on its defense and big plays to score points; they rank as the most explosive in the NFL (1st in points per play). But LA prides itself at limiting big plays, 6th overall in the same category defensively. Either way, the essence of the “Darnold-led offense” hasn’t changed. A year ago in Minnesota, many of his statistics were average, as they are this season (13th in pass yards per game, 28th in interceptions per game), but explosive pass plays and an aggressive defense created a litany of scoring opportunities throughout the regular season. We doubt he’ll have the same opportunities on Sunday.

The postseason breeds more intense defense, and Darnold buckled badly against the same group twice the past 2 years. At the same time, while we expect Stafford, Puka Nacua and Davante Adams and others to get theirs, Seattle’s defense is too good to let the floodgates open the same way again. We’ll fade the market’s decision to place this total over the key number of 47.

Rams vs Seahawks prediction: Under 47.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 47.

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Chris R. Farley
Player Receiving Yards Pick
T. Ferguson (LAR) - Over 14.5 rec yds(-108)

Terrance Ferguson has had a relatively quiet rookie season when you compare it to his draft status as a 2nd-round pick. He’s battled injuries to start the year, took a while to learn the playbook and has only made 3 starts so far. One of those starts was against Seattle in Week 16, where he logged 4 targets, 3 receptions for 33 yards and a touchdown. Last week against the Bears, Ferguson was involved early, but his snaps were reduced after missing a few key blocks, only playing 29% of offensive snaps.

What encourages me is that plays are being drawn up for him despite only seeing 29% of snaps, to the tune of 5 targets last week for 1 reception and 19 yards. He’s a big-play wide receiver and though the Rams went run-heavy in the last few minutes of regulation into OT, Ferguson was given the last target of the game in OT before kicking the victory field goal. I believe his role will continue to be in that 30-40% of snap range, and he should still see 3-5 targets Sunday night. In games where he sees 3+ targets, he’s over this line in all 5 games.

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Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
Player Receiving Yards Pick
J. Smith-Njigba (SEA) - Over 89.5 rec yds(-114)

Yes, this is considered a “square” play in terms of being a look that the Average Joe would pull the trigger on without any deep dive into the odds or number. In a game that will get you to the Super Bowl, it is not time for Seattle to get cute, but rather rely on who got you where you are today. In that sense, this is the obvious choice.

The number itself is soft in my opinion: he cleared it in both games against the Rams this season, his median yards for the year are 104, he’s gone over in 14 of 17 (82%) games during the regular season, and the Rams’ glaring weakness defensively is on the perimeter. Whether Emmanuel Forbes plays or not is irrelevant to me in this pick, as LA’s corners across the board have been sub-par all season. We are getting a cheap price on JSN due to last week’s dud against the 49ers, but at no point did they need to put the pedal to the floor on offense, so I’m buying low here.

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Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
K. Williams (LAR) to score a TD(+135)

While the Seahawks defense might be the best unit remaining in these playoffs, Seattle has not been able to slow down the Rams’ ground game all that much in either of the 2 meetings between these teams earlier this season. With that in mind, we can expect head coach Sean McVay and the Rams offensive coaching staff to lean into running the ball once again on Sunday, and that’s where Kyren Williams comes in. The Notre Dame product has tallied at least 12 carries in every game this season, while also racking up touchdowns in 15 of his 19 games played over the course of the campaign. There’s no reason to expect that Williams’ red zone workload will slow down anytime soon, so let’s stick with the hot hand and look for Williams to find the end zone once again.

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Caleb Wilfinger
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
R. Shaheed (SEA) to score a TD(+380)

While the production hasn’t always shown itself in the stat sheet, Rashid Shaheed has been a major addition for the Seattle offense over the second half of the season and into the playoffs. The speedy wide receiver has made his mark in the downfield passing game, while also excelling on special teams. In fact, it was Shaheed’s punt return touchdown that sparked a very memorable Seahawks comeback over this same Rams teams back on December 18. Shaheed also tacked on a 31-yard rush in that contest, and he has another chance to make an impact in this one, especially with so much of Los Angeles’ attention expected to be focused on Jaxson Smith-Njigba. While he’s only recorded a couple of touchdowns this season, I’ll take a shot on Shaheed to make a splash on Sunday.

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Chris Farley

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
@FarleyBets
Read more about Chris Farley

Same Game Parlay

Point Spread
SEA Seahawks -2.5
Player Rushing Yards
K. Walker (SEA) - 100+ rush yds
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
P. Nacua (LAR) to score a TD

Rams vs Seahawks SGP pick: Seattle Seahawks -2.5 over LA Rams (-110) 

With the line set at just 2.5 points, oddsmakers are effectively saying that Los Angeles would be favored on a neutral field. Yeah…. That’s a no from me, dawg. Seattle is the best team in football. It won the NFL’s most stacked division (the NFC West) and kicked off its postseason campaign with a 41-6 humiliation of San Francisco. Yes, the Niners were a shadow of their real selves due to a myriad of injuries, but winning any playoff game by 35 points is impressive regardless of the circumstances.

The Seahawks find themselves in another fantastic spot this weekend. They have played only 1 game since January 3 and their Divisional Round matchup with the 49ers was on Saturday. The Rams not only had to play a Wild Card game (and a very tough one at Carolina), but their Divisional Round showdown against the Bears was on Sunday. Seattle is more rested and playing at home. It is true that head coach Mike Macdonald’s squad needed OT to beat the Rams in Seattle on December 18, but that was a month ago. A lot can happen in a month – and a lot has. The ‘Hawks are playing even better now and in a more favorable situation.

Rams vs Seahawks SGP pick: Kenneth Walker to record 100+ rushing yards (+168) 

Perhaps the best backfield in the NFL has been cut in half, as Seattle’s Zach Charbonnet tore an ACL last weekend against the Niners. That means the ball-carrying duties are now left to Walker and Walker alone. After his backfield mate went down early in the Divisional Round game, Walker tied his season high of 19 carries – which he turned into 116 yards and 3 touchdowns.

KW3 has amassed at least 97 yards in 3 of the last 4 outings and now runs into an LA defense that has struggled in recent weeks. It really wasn’t that good against the run during the regular season, yielding 110.8 rushing yards per game on 4.3 yards per attempt. Walker was awesome in both H2H matchups in the regular season, rushing a combined 27 times for 167 yards and 2 scores. The former Michigan State standout torched the Rams for 100 yards on only 11 attempts in Week 16.

Rams vs Seahawks parlay pick: Puka Nacua to score a touchdown (-110) 

Before being kept out of the end zone by Chicago in the Divisional Round, Nacua had scored at least 1 TD in 4 straight games. That stretch featured 2 against none other than the Seahawks in Week 16. In fact, Seattle is probably still having nightmares about Nacua even though it managed to win that game. The BYU product torched the NFC West champs for 12 catches and 225 yards. Nacua finished the regular season with 10 touchdowns before hauling in 10 of 18 targets for 111 yards and 1 TD in a 34-31 Wild Card victory at Carolina. Nacua also rushed for a touchdown during that win.

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Ricky Dimon

Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Player Receiving Yards Pick
J. Smith-Njigba (SEA) - Over 89.5 rec yds(-114)

Yes, this is considered a “square” play in terms of being a look that the Average Joe would pull the trigger on without any deep dive into the odds or number. In a game that will get you to the Super Bowl, it is not time for Seattle to get cute, but rather rely on who got you where you are today. In that sense, this is the obvious choice.

The number itself is soft in my opinion: he cleared it in both games against the Rams this season, his median yards for the year are 104, he’s gone over in 14 of 17 (82%) games during the regular season, and the Rams’ glaring weakness defensively is on the perimeter. Whether Emmanuel Forbes plays or not is irrelevant to me in this pick, as LA’s corners across the board have been sub-par all season. We are getting a cheap price on JSN due to last week’s dud against the 49ers, but at no point did they need to put the pedal to the floor on offense, so I’m buying low here.

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Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
K. Williams (LAR) to score a TD(+135)

While the Seahawks defense might be the best unit remaining in these playoffs, Seattle has not been able to slow down the Rams’ ground game all that much in either of the 2 meetings between these teams earlier this season. With that in mind, we can expect head coach Sean McVay and the Rams offensive coaching staff to lean into running the ball once again on Sunday, and that’s where Kyren Williams comes in. The Notre Dame product has tallied at least 12 carries in every game this season, while also racking up touchdowns in 15 of his 19 games played over the course of the campaign. There’s no reason to expect that Williams’ red zone workload will slow down anytime soon, so let’s stick with the hot hand and look for Williams to find the end zone once again.

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Caleb Wilfinger
Player Receiving Yards Pick
T. Ferguson (LAR) - Over 14.5 rec yds(-108)

Terrance Ferguson has had a relatively quiet rookie season when you compare it to his draft status as a 2nd-round pick. He’s battled injuries to start the year, took a while to learn the playbook and has only made 3 starts so far. One of those starts was against Seattle in Week 16, where he logged 4 targets, 3 receptions for 33 yards and a touchdown. Last week against the Bears, Ferguson was involved early, but his snaps were reduced after missing a few key blocks, only playing 29% of offensive snaps.

What encourages me is that plays are being drawn up for him despite only seeing 29% of snaps, to the tune of 5 targets last week for 1 reception and 19 yards. He’s a big-play wide receiver and though the Rams went run-heavy in the last few minutes of regulation into OT, Ferguson was given the last target of the game in OT before kicking the victory field goal. I believe his role will continue to be in that 30-40% of snap range, and he should still see 3-5 targets Sunday night. In games where he sees 3+ targets, he’s over this line in all 5 games.

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Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
R. Shaheed (SEA) to score a TD(+380)

While the production hasn’t always shown itself in the stat sheet, Rashid Shaheed has been a major addition for the Seattle offense over the second half of the season and into the playoffs. The speedy wide receiver has made his mark in the downfield passing game, while also excelling on special teams. In fact, it was Shaheed’s punt return touchdown that sparked a very memorable Seahawks comeback over this same Rams teams back on December 18. Shaheed also tacked on a 31-yard rush in that contest, and he has another chance to make an impact in this one, especially with so much of Los Angeles’ attention expected to be focused on Jaxson Smith-Njigba. While he’s only recorded a couple of touchdowns this season, I’ll take a shot on Shaheed to make a splash on Sunday.

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Caleb Wilfinger

Featured In

Top Trends
Game Totals

Both teams have had more games go over than under this season (Rams 11-8, Seahawks 10-8).

Money Line

The Seahawks have won 7 of their 9 home games this season.

Point Spread

The first two meetings between the teams this season were decided by margins of 2 points and 1 point.

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+ $2,000 Cash Back over First 30 Days!

This promotion is available to new Bracco customers only. Customers must be 18 years of age or older (or the legal age of majority in their jurisdiction) to participate. This offer is limited to one promotion per person, household, IP address, and payment method.

Bracco

$2000

100% Deposit Match up to $100 + $2,000 Welcome Package over First 30 Days

Sign up for a new account on PlayBracco

Get a 100% Deposit Match

+ $2,000 Cash Back over First 30 Days!

This promotion is available to new Bracco customers only. Customers must be 18 years of age or older (or the legal age of majority in their jurisdiction) to participate. This offer is limited to one promotion per person, household, IP address, and payment method.

Bracco

$2000

100% Deposit Match up to $100 + $2,000 Welcome Package over First 30 Days

Sign up for a new account on Bracco

Get a 100% Deposit Match

+ $2,000 Cash Back over First 30 Days!

This promotion is available to new Bracco customers only. Customers must be 18 years of age or older (or the legal age of majority in their jurisdiction) to participate. This offer is limited to one promotion per person, household, IP address, and payment method.