Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/05/25

Not exactly a marquee matchup here in Week 5 as the Miami Dolphins take on the Carolina Panthers, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities for value. It’s the first game for Miami since Tyreek Hill’s devastating knee injury, and while they’d certainly rather have Hill out there, I still like them in this spot. The Panthers are just completely lifeless at the moment and already look checked out.

Outside of one win against a Falcons team that Bryce Young has randomly always had success against, Carolina has looked absolutely awful. Last week things boiled over in an ugly 42-13 loss to the Patriots, and it’s clear to me at this point that Young is never going to be their franchise QB. There was a lot of talk last year about Young’s improvement, but he was never actually any good. People were just comparing him to his rookie year, but it wouldn’t have been possible for things to be any worse than that. This year he’s averaging a pitiful 5.2 yards per attempt, and the ground game is averaging less than 4 yards per attempt, and Chuba Hubbard is banged up with a calf injury that had him out of practice on Thursday.

Miami started 0-3, but those three losses were on the road to very good Colts and Bills teams, and a very close one to the Patriots. The Dolphins finally picked up their first win of the season this past week against the Jets, and De’Von Achane broke out with by far his most rushing yards of the year. If they can get him going again here, they should win this one easily.

Dolphins -1 at publishing.

I also think the under makes some sense here, because this Panthers offense can’t get anything going against anybody besides the Falcons. Bryce Young is averaging a ridiculously low 5.2 yards per attempt, and they’re relying on a rookie to lead them in receiving. They’re not just relying on Tetairoa McMillan to lead them in receiving, he’s pretty much their only receiving option. McMillan has 279 yards, and nobody else on the team has any more than 99. And the ground game has also been anemic.

The Dolphins on the other hand are going to be playing their first game without Tyreek Hill, greatly lowering the ceiling of their offense. Given that De’Von Achane finally got going last week and they’re big favorites here, I’d expect Mike McDaniel to keep things on the ground as much as possible which will keep the clock churning. Even in Carolina’s big win over the Falcons they still only had 224 yards of total offense, and only really scored because of Atlanta turnovers.

Under 44.5 at publishing.