Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/05/25

This is not exactly a marquee matchup in Week 5 when the Miami Dolphins take on the Carolina Panthers, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities for value. It’s the first game for Miami since Tyreek Hill’s devastating knee injury, and while they’d certainly rather have Hill out there, I still like them in this spot. The Panthers are just completely lifeless at the moment and already look checked out.

Outside of one win against a Falcons team that Bryce Young has randomly always had success against, Carolina has looked absolutely awful. Last week, things boiled over in an ugly 42-13 loss to the Patriots, and it’s clear to me at this point that Young is never going to be their franchise QB. There was a lot of talk last year about Young’s improvement, but he was never actually any good. People were just comparing him to his rookie year, and it wouldn’t have been possible for things to be any worse than that. This year, he’s averaging a pitiful 5.2 yards per attempt, while the ground game averages less than 4 yards per attempt. To make matters worse, Chuba Hubbard is banged up with a calf injury that had him out of practice on Thursday.

Miami started 0-3, but those 3 losses were on the road to very good Colts and Bills teams, and a very close one to the Patriots. The Dolphins finally picked up their first win of the season this past week against the Jets, and De’Von Achane broke out with his most rushing yards of the year by far. If they can get him going again here, they should win this one easily.

Dolphins vs Panthers prediction: Miami Dolphins -1 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.5.

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I think the under makes some sense in this matchup because this Panthers offense can’t get anything going against anybody besides the Falcons. Bryce Young averages a ridiculously-low 5.2 yards per attempt, and the Panthers are relying on a rookie to lead them in receiving. In fact, they’re not just relying on Tetairoa McMillan to lead them in receiving, he’s pretty much their only receiving option. McMillan has 279 yards, and nobody else on the team has any more than 99. To add insult to injury, the ground game has also been anemic.

The Dolphins, on the other hand, will play their first game without Tyreek Hill, greatly lowering the ceiling of their offense. Given that De’Von Achane finally got going last week and they’re big favorites here, I’d expect Mike McDaniel to keep things on the ground as much as possible — which will keep the clock churning. Even in Carolina’s big win over the Falcons, they only had 224 yards of total offense due favorable field position from Atlanta’s turnovers.

Dolphins vs Panthers pick: Under 44.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 44.

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