Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 12/07/25

MetLife StadiumCBS
Dolphins
4-8
Dolphins
Sun Dec 7
Jets
3-9
Jets
New York Jets
Google News

Dolphins vs Jets Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread PickBest Bet
MIA Dolphins -2.5(-115)

It will be a showdown in the AFC East when the Miami Dolphins visit the New York Jets in Week 14 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. Once left for dead with head coach Mike McDaniel all but fired at 1-6, Miami has completely turned things around with 4 wins in its last 5 games. I expect that momentum to continue, so my Dolphins vs Jets pick is for the visitors to win and cover. The Dolphins failed to cover in last week’s victory at New Orleans, but they probably should have won by a lot more than 4 points — squandering almost the entirety of a 16-0 lead in the second half.

It is true that the Fins are not very good on the road, but it’s not like MetLife Stadium is a difficult place to play. The Jets’ only home wins are over Atlanta and Cleveland, and they are 3-9 overall. It would not be out of bounds to argue that they should be — or at least could be — 0-12. New York beat Atlanta 27-24 this past weekend despite getting dominated in all phases of the game other than special teams. It scraped past Cleveland 27-20 while gaining 169 yards of total offense. Head coach Aaron Glenn’s squad outlasted Cincinnati 39-38 when the Bengals did not have Joe Burrow. Meanwhile, Miami’s 4-1 stretch includes a 30-13 rout of Buffalo. Although Tua Tagovailoa is not the most trustworthy quarterback, I will roll with him, Devon Achane and Jaylen Waddle over anyone and anything the Jets can offer.
 
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction: Dolphins -2.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -3.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 40.5(-110)

Neither offense inspires any confidence, so my Dolphins vs Jets prediction is Under 40.5. Tagovailoa has performed better of late, but his touchdown-to-interception ratio for the season is still just 17-to-14. New York defends the pass very well, too, ranking #10 league wide in that department at 196.1 yards per game allowed on 7.0 yards per attempt allowed. I do have some concerns about the Jets’ poor rushing defense being able to contain Achane. But there is some good news — if the Dolphins do go on a few scoring drives, they will likely be run-heavy treks that use up a lot of clock.

The Jets’ back-and-forth QB carousel between Tyrod Taylor and Justin Fields has swung back in Taylor’s favor, but it doesn’t really matter. Taylor returned to the starting role last week and New York put up 27 points on Atlanta, but it was not exactly a sparkling offensive performance. Defense and a kick return that almost went all the way played a role, as the Jets finished with just 269 yards of total offense on a woeful 4.3 yards per play. They had scored 14 points or fewer in 4 of their previous 6 outings. Meanwhile, the losing team in Miami’s last 6 games has scored 6, 10, 6, 13, 13 and 17 points. At least 1 team — and probably both — will struggle again on Sunday.
 
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction: Under 40.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 40.

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Ricky Dimon

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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