Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 12 2025 for Sunday, 11/23/25

Lambeau FieldFOX
Vikings
Vikings
Sun Nov 23
Packers
Packers
LLWLL
Last 5
WWLLW
4-6Record6-3-1
4-6-0ATS Record3-7-0
7-3O/U Record5-5
Green Bay Packers

Vikings vs Packers Best Bets

Point Spread PickBest Bet
MIN Vikings +6.5(-110)

The Vikings have been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this season at 4-6 with subpar quarterback play. Minnesota looks to bounce back from consecutive home losses to Baltimore and Chicago as the Vikings welcome the rival Packers to U.S. Bank Stadium. The Packers rallied past the Giants last Sunday, 27-20 to improve to 6-3-1 and sit one half game behind the Bears for first place in the NFC North.

Green Bay QB Jordan Love briefly exited Week 11 with a left shoulder injury, but returned and threw the go-ahead TD pass to Christian Watson with four minutes remaining to give the Pack the lead. The Packers closed as 7.5-point favorites, failing to cover for the third straight game, while falling to 1-7 against the spread in the last eight games. The 27 points scored against the Giants eclipsed Green Bay’s total of 20 points from the previous two games combined in losses to Carolina and Philadelphia.

Minnesota tries to turn around its struggling offense after getting held to 19 points against Baltimore and 17 points in last Sunday’s two-point loss to the Bears. The Vikings look to finish road division play at 3-0 after winning at Chicago in Week 1 and stunning Detroit in Week 9. QB J.J. McCarthy threw a pair of interceptions and finished 16-of-32 for 150 yards against Chicago, as his interception total is up to five in the last three games.

The Vikings swept the Packers last season with both victories coming by two points each. Love is 1-3 in four career starts against Minnesota with two losses coming at Lambeau Field. In each of the last two weeks, Minnesota’s defense has limited both Chicago’s Caleb Williams and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson to less than 200 yards passing. Let’s go with Minnesota here as a road underdog against Green Bay.

Vikings vs Packers prediction: Vikings +6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 6.

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Vikings vs Packers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Over 41.0(-110)

These NFC North rivals have gone in different directions from a total perspective this season. Minnesota is 7-3 to the Over, while Green Bay is 5-4-1 to the Under even though the Packers have scored at least 27 points in seven games. The Vikings were riding a six-game Over streak prior to cashing the Under in the last two home losses to the Ravens and Bears. In the 27-19 setback to Baltimore, that game stayed Under the total of 49. The 19-17 defeat to Chicago never threatened the total of 48.

The Packers easily finished Under the total in home losses to the Panthers and Eagles, but hit the Over against the Giants in last Sunday’s 27-20 victory on a 42.5 total. Green Bay has yet to drill the Over at Lambeau Field this season, going 4-0-1 to the Under at home. Meanwhile, Minnesota is 5-0 Over away from U.S. Bank Stadium, which includes an Over in the London win over Cleveland. Both meetings last season between the Packers and Vikings went Over the total, as Sam Darnold threw 3 TDs in each victory for Minnesota.

The Vikings rank 27th in the NFL in yards per game at 296.4, while the Packers sit 12th with 344 yards per contest. Both Minnesota and Green Bay place in the top-10 in the league in yards allowed per game, as the Vikings have given up 320 and 321 yards in the past two games. Three of Green Bay’s last four opponents are ranked 22nd or lower in yards per game, but Minnesota has scored 27 points in each of J.J. McCarthy’s two road starts this season. Either the Green Bay home Under trend or Minnesota road Over trend continues, but I think we’ll see points in this one with this low total.

Vikings vs Packers pick: Over 41 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 42.

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Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
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Top Trends
Point Spread

The Packers have failed to cover in 3 straight games as home favorites.

Game Totals

The Packers' last 3 games against the Vikings have gone Over the expected points total.

Money Line

The Vikings have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road to divisional opponents in the NFC North.

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