Minnesota Vikings vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/28/25

The Carson Wentz era in Minnesota started off with a bang, and he’ll look to keep his potential career resurgence going here as the Vikings travel to Ireland to take on the Pittsburgh Steeler’s in one of the NFL’s European games. While Wentz picking up a win in his first start with the Vikings was a nice story, I’m skeptical that he’ll be able to find as much success here. The Bengals were in a tough spot as they were on the road reeling from the potential loss of Joe Burrow for the season, and Cincy just completely gave the game away. Just in the first half, the Vikings scored off a pick-six and a fumble return touchdown.

They hung 48 points, but it wasn’t the offensive explosion you might assume given that total, as Wentz threw for just 173 yards. Let’s not get carried away with Wentz hype, this is still a Minnesota team that the week before lost 22-6 to a Falcons team that is struggling themselves at the moment. And in Week 1, the Vikings needed a miraculous 4th quarter comeback to beat a mostly hapless Bears team. Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in the league, and they aren’t the same team without it. On the flip side we have the Steelers, who enter at 2-1.

The start of Aaron Rodgers’ tenure in Pittsburgh hasn’t been perfect, but the only loss was to a Seahawks team that looks pretty dang good, and if it weren’t for a special teams blunder in that one they could easily be 3-0. Rodgers looks much improved from last year, and I never felt it was fair to judge him too harshly last season as he was coming back from an Achilles tear. Give me the Steelers in this one.

Steelers +2.5 at publishing.

I also think the under makes a lot of sense here. We have two defensive wizards here in Mike Tomlin and Brian Flores, who are very familiar with one another as Flores was on Tomlin’s staff not too long ago. The Vikings’ defense looks like it’s once again going to be one of the best in the league, and Flores’ unit completely dominated Jake Browning last week. Minnesota’s offensive output was misleading last week, and Carson Wentz only threw for 173 yards despite the team putting up 48.

Wentz was only signed about a month ago, and now he’s playing in a (literally) foreign environment in Europe. I think Kevin O’Connell is going to again call a pretty conservative game for him and look to keep things on the ground like he did last week. We have two quarterbacks who are both adjusting to new teammates and new offenses, and even in Pittsburgh’s win over New England last week Aaron Rodgers only threw for 139 yards. I don’t see any reason to believe we’ll see anything explosive from either offense here.

Under 41 at publishing.