New England Patriots

New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/09/25

Raymond James StadiumCBS
Patriots
Patriots
Today
Buccaneers
Buccaneers
WWWWW
Last 5
LWWLW
7-2Record6-2
6-3-0ATS Record5-3-0
5-4O/U Record4-4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Patriots vs Buccaneers Best Bets

Point Spread PickBest Bet
NE Patriots +2.5(-110)

A pair of division leaders meet for a critical matchup at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. Not many people should be surprised that Tampa Bay sits atop the NFC South at 6-2 and is tied with 3 other teams for the best record in the conference. However, the Patriots were not expected to lead the AFC East halfway through the season at 7-2, ahead of the 5-time defending division champion Buffalo Bills.

New England lost 2 of its first 3 games, falling at home to Las Vegas and Pittsburgh, but the Pats have ripped off 6 consecutive victories including 3 wins over NFC South opponents. New England held off Atlanta last Sunday 24-23, as the Falcons missed the game-tying extra point with less than 5 minutes remaining. During this hot streak, the Patriots have covered the pointspread 5 times, including in its lone game as an underdog in a 23-20 upset of the Bills in Week 5.

The Buccaneers bounced back from a 24-9 loss at Detroit in Week 7 to beat the Saints in Week 8 23-3 as 4-point road favorites. It was the best defensive effort of the season for Tampa Bay out of the bye week, who won in spite of scoring 1 offensive touchdown. The Bucs are beat up offensively, as future Hall of Fame WR Mike Evans is sidelined for the rest of the season with a broken collarbone suffered in the loss to the Lions.

Patriots QB Drake Maye has made an incredible ascension in his 2nd season, throwing multiple touchdown passes in 7 of the last 8 games. The former North Carolina standout hasn’t thrown for 300 yards in a game this season, though he has surpassed the 250-yard threshold 6 times. Incredibly, New England is 4-0 on the road in 2025 after going 2-7 away from Gillette Stadium last season. Tampa Bay owns 4 walk-off wins this season and probably isn’t as strong as its 6-2 mark, not to mention, the Bucs are dealing with a bunch of injuries. Let’s back the Patriots here as a road underdog.

Patriots vs Buccaneers best bet: New England Patriots +2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 2.

You can bet on our Patriots vs Buccaneers pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and receive $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY if your first $10+ wager is a winner!

Kevin Rogers

Patriots vs Buccaneers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Under 48.5(-110)

Tampa Bay went through a 4-0 over run from Week 3 through Week 6, but the Bucs have cashed the under in each of the past 2 games at Detroit and New Orleans. QB Baker Mayfield is averaging 190 passing yards in the last 2 games following a 3-game run of at least 250 passing yards apiece. Mayfield faces a Patriots’ defense that ranks 19th in the NFL in passing yards allowed at 223.6.

The Patriots are riding a 3-game over run, while scoring at least 23 points during each victory of this 6-game winning streak. New England allowed 20 or fewer points in 5 consecutive games before Atlanta put up 23 points last Sunday. The Falcons scored 14 points in the first 3 quarters before putting up 9 points in the fourth quarter.

In 5 of the past 6 games, the Patriots have scored at least 3 touchdowns. Tampa Bay has given up 3 or more TDs in 2 of 3 home games, although 2 of those scores came on special teams. The Bucs are 3-0 to the over at home this season, while going 6-1 to the over the last 2 seasons with WR Mike Evans out of the lineup. Four of New England’s five overs came on totals of 42.5 or less, as Sunday’s total is up to 48.5. The highest total for the Pats this season was 48.5 in their 23-20 victory at Buffalo in Week 5.

The Patriots lead the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game at 75.4, while the Bucs sit 7th at 92.6. These teams will need to throw the ball, as we’ll see how New England controls Mayfield after facing the likes of Michael Penix, Jr., Dillon Gabriel, Cam Ward, and Spencer Rattler the last 4 games. Let’s look at the under.

Patriots vs Buccaneers prediction: Under 48.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 48.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook for the football season, we recommend checking out Fanatics Sportsbook. New users can get $250 in FanCash INSTANTLY when they make their first $50 wager! Join Fanatics Sportsbook, where you can bet on our Patriots vs Ravens predictions.

Kevin Rogers
Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
Read more about Kevin Rogers
Top Trends
Money Line

The Patriots have won 4 of their last 5 matchups against NFC South teams.

Game Totals

The Total went Under in the Buccaneers' last 5 games off a bye.

Point Spread

The Patriots have covered in 3 straight games as a road underdog.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Fliff Social Sportsbook

$200

Spend $100, Get $200 in Fliff Coins

Download the Fliff Sportsbook app and sign up for an account

Spend $100 on any wagers

You'll get $200 back in Fliff Coins

Promotional offer only valid for new users that are 18+ years old. Purchase of Fliff Coins is not required to participate in sweepstakes. In-app purchases do not increase a player\\\'s odds of winning sweepstakes. Fliff Cash credits will only be given to users with less than $5 available in Fliff Cash in their account. Fliff Coins are not eligible for cash withdrawals.

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.\"

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Punt.com

150 Coins

Up to 150 Free Sweeps Coins + 1.5M Gold Coins on First Purchase

"No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use."

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Punt.com

150 Coins

Up to 150 Free Sweeps Coins + 1.5M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy