New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/30/25

Hard Rock StadiumFOX
Saints
2-9
Saints
Sun Nov 30
Dolphins
4-7
Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
Google News

Saints vs Dolphins Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread PickBest Bet
MIA Dolphins -5.5(-115)

The Miami Dolphins will be trying to extend their winning streak to 3 games when they host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday afternoon. Even a 2-game streak is better than anything New Orleans has managed this season. It’s hard to even describe how bad the Saints are. As a result, my Saints vs Dolphins pick is on the home team to win and cover. Head coach Kellen Moore’s crew has 2 victories this season — over a Giants team that committed 5 turnovers and over Carolina when the bad version of Bryce Young showed up. New Orleans is coming off a 24-10 home loss to Atlanta, during which the Saints ran for 79 yards on 28 carries against a horrible rushing defense and averaged an anemic 3.8 yards per play.

This is a fantastic spot for the Dolphins, who should have no trouble capitalizing on the opportunity. Not only have they won 2 straight, but they are also coming off a bye week. Miami is well rested, playing at home and facing an awful opponent. Left for dead at 1-6, the Fins have resurrected themselves to win 3 of their last 4 games. During this stretch, Tua Tagovailoa has a 6-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. That may not be anything special, but its far better than his 11-to-10 ratio through his first 7 outings. Count on Tua and the Dolphins staying hot.

New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins prediction: Dolphins -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.5.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 42.5(-118)

My other Saints vs Dolphins play is Under 42.5 and I like it almost as much as the ATS bet. After all, hammering the under when New Orleans’ offense is involved generally pays off. The under is an amazing 6-0-1 in the Saints’ last 7 overall, largely because their offense has been inept. They have reached the 20-point mark only twice this entire year, and those 2 exceptions were 21-point and 26-point efforts. New Orleans has scored 14, 3, 10, 17 and 10 points in its past 5 appearances. Rookie QB Tyler Shough has been predictably bland since taking over from Spencer Rattler. The Louisville product has thrown 3 TD passes and 3 INTs through 4 starts, good for a QBR of 41.3.

Fortunately for the Saints, their defense is by no means terrible. It is a run that ranks #9 against the pass and is giving up only 4.0 yards per rushing attempt, so it is pretty solid in both departments. Tagovailoa has been decent of late, but he is not getting a ton of help from his pass-catching corps. Although Jaylen Waddle has been productive at times, he is more effective as a WR2 — but WR1 is the role he has been forced into since Tyreek Hill is out for the season. Expect both offenses to struggle on Sunday.

New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins prediction: Under 42.5 (-118) available at time of publishing. Playable to 41.5.

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Ricky Dimon

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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