New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 13 2025 for Today, 11/30/25

Hard Rock StadiumFOX
Saints
Saints
Today
Dolphins
Dolphins
LLLWL
Last 5
LWLWW
2-9Record4-7
3-8-0ATS Record6-5-0
3-8O/U Record6-5
Miami Dolphins

Saints vs Dolphins Best Bets

Point Spread PickBest Bet
MIA Dolphins -5.5(-115)

The Miami Dolphins will try to extend their winning streak to 3 games when they host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday afternoon. Even a 2-game streak is better than anything New Orleans has managed this season. It’s hard to even describe how bad the Saints are. As a result, my Saints vs Dolphins pick is on the home team to win and cover. Head coach Kellen Moore’s crew has 2 victories this season — over a Giants team that committed 5 turnovers and over Carolina when the bad version of Bryce Young showed up. New Orleans is coming off a 24-10 home loss to Atlanta, during which the Saints ran for 79 yards on 28 carries against a horrible rushing defense and averaged an anemic 3.8 yards per play.

This is a fantastic spot for the Dolphins, who should have no trouble capitalizing on the opportunity. Not only have they won 2 straight, but they are also coming off a bye week. Miami is well rested, playing at home and facing an awful opponent. Left for dead at 1-6, the Fins have resurrected themselves to win 3 of their last 4 games. During this stretch, Tua Tagovailoa has a 6-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. That may not be anything special, but its far better than his 11-to-10 ratio through his first 7 outings. Count on Tua and the Dolphins staying hot.

Saints vs Dolphins prediction: Miami Dolphins -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.5.

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Saints vs Dolphins Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Under 42.5(-118)

My other Saints vs Dolphins play is under 42.5, and I like it almost as much as the ATS bet. After all, hammering the under when New Orleans’ offense is involved generally pays off. The under is an amazing 6-0-1 in the Saints’ last 7 overall, largely because their offense has been inept. They have reached the 20-point mark only twice this entire year, and those 2 exceptions were 21-point and 26-point efforts. Moreover, New Orleans has scored 14, 3, 10, 17 and 10 points in its past 5 appearances. Rookie QB Tyler Shough has been predictably bland since taking over from Spencer Rattler. The Louisville product has thrown 3 TD passes and 3 INTs through 4 starts, good for a QBR of 41.3.

Fortunately for the Saints, their defense is by no means terrible. It is a run that ranks #9 against the pass and is giving up only 4.0 yards per rushing attempt, so it is pretty solid in both departments. Tagovailoa has been decent of late, but he is not getting a ton of help from his pass-catching corps. Although Jaylen Waddle has been productive at times, he is more effective as a WR2 — but WR1 is the role he has been forced into since Tyreek Hill is out for the season. Expect both offenses to struggle on Sunday.

Saints vs Dolphins prediction: Under 42.5 (-118) available at time of publishing. Playable to 41.5.

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Point Spread

The Dolphins have covered in 4 of their last 5 home games.

Game Totals

The Over is 7-3 in the Dolphins' last 10 home games

Money Line

The Dolphins have won 4 of their last 5 matchups against NFC South teams

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