New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 12/07/25

Raymond James StadiumFOX
Saints
2-10
Saints
Sun Dec 7
Buccaneers
7-5
Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Google News

Saints vs Buccaneers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
TB Buccaneers -8.0(-110)

This isn’t exactly the most compelling game on the Week 14 slate, but the Buccaneers are in decent position to finally pick up a win by margin after struggling over the last 6 weeks. Tampa Bay is still dealing with a ton of injuries on offense, but the Buccaneers should be a bit healthier on the offensive line and in the wide receiving corps. It certainly helps matters that Baker Mayfield has performed at a very high level at home this season, and he’ll be facing a defense that he’s already seen once this season, and that was when Tampa Bay was extremely banged-up. On the other side of the ball, Todd Bowles has been a coach that has dominated inexperienced quarterbacks historically, and that’s exactly what the Tampa Bay defense will see here against Tyler Shough, who has struggled mightily against the blitz in his first few starts as an NFL quarterback.

Given the mismatch at hand and the coaching edge that Tampa Bay has in this game, I can’t see the Saints generating consistent success on offense. After all, New Orleans mustered up just 3 points in the first meeting between these teams, and that was in the Superdome. The Bucs won that contest by a whopping 20 points and while we can’t project a similar result in this spot, it’s hard to imagine New Orleans’ meager offense doing enough to stay within this number on the road. It’s not my favorite game on the card, but I’ll lay the points with Tampa Bay.

Saints vs Buccaneers prediction: Bucs -8 available at time of publishing. Playable to -8.5

Now you can bet any of our Saints vs Bucs predictions at FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a great new-customer offer to take advantage of. If you sign up for FanDuel right now, you earn a welcome bonus worth up to $300 if your first $5 bet wins! Use this link 🔗 to join FanDuel right now and learn more.

Game Totals Pick
Under 41.5(-110)

The total in this game has dipped a bit, but the under is still the only way I can look on Sunday. As previously mentioned, the Saints offense has been one of the worst units in football in recent weeks, and it’s not as if New Orleans was a high-powered offense previously. Furthermore, Tampa Bay’s defense is excellent at stopping the run and has done so against much better competition than what it’ll see on Sunday, so it’s hard to see the Saints having much success on the ground in the hopes of making life a bit easier for their rookie quarterback on the road. On the other side, Tampa Bay has struggled established much of a run game in its own right, but this is a game where the Buccaneers should just look to control the clock and limit any crucial mistakes. As long as the Bucs play a relatively clean game, this one should stay under this low total.

Under 41.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Photo of Caleb Wilfinger

Caleb Wilfinger

Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
Read more about Caleb Wilfinger