1
BetMGM
1
Caesars Sportsbook
1
bet365
1
DraftKings
1
FanDuel Sportsbook
1
PlayBracco
1
Fliff Social Sportsbook
1
High 5 Casino
1
Sportzino
1
Pulsz
1
WOW Vegas
1
McLuck
1
Hello Millions
New York Jets

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 11 2025 for Today, 11/13/25

Gillette StadiumAmazon Prime Video
Jets
Jets
Today
Patriots
Patriots
LLLWW
Last 5
WWWWW
2-7Record8-2
5-4-0ATS Record7-3-0
6-3O/U Record6-4
New England Patriots

Jets vs Patriots Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
NE Patriots -11.5(-110)

The Jets secured their second win in a row in Week 10, but boy was it ugly. Really it was the Jets’ special teams that deserved the victory lap, securing a kickoff and punt return for touchdowns in consecutive first quarter possessions. Jumping out to a 14-7 lead after initially going down 0-7 at home, New York eventually scored a few more times, but they were also vastly out-gained and only tallied 169 total yards (Cleveland finished with 278). 

The Jets’ front office decided to sell three major pieces of their defense before the trade deadline last week, but it didn’t seem to matter very much. Cleveland only gained 4 yards per play and the Jets’ defensive line sacked Dillon Gabriel six times. Some of that was likely because of the Browns, who qualify as one of the NFL’s worst offenses, especially when they’re not in Cleveland (they average just 12 points per game as the road team). The Jets’ offense remains the bigger concern, and it’s still the main reason why the market has no trust in Aaron Glenn’s operation from week-to-week. The embattled first year coach has a much bigger challenge on Thursday.

Many sharp bettors took the Bucs -2.5 last week, assuming that Tampa would finally force the Patriots’ regression following their bye-week. Drake Maye played probably his most average game of the season (16-31, 270 yards), but New England still mustered multiple big plays that helped them maintain a lead. Perhaps most impressive was their defense in Week 11, holding off three Bucs’ drives when they were only up by one score in the fourth quarter. After a 69 yard touchdown run by Treyvon Henderson, the lead was too insurmountable and New England left with their seventh straight win.

Maye and his colleagues have been virtually perfect since the end of September, beating the spread in six out of their past seven contests. Eventually bettors will look to capitalize on a down spot for Mike Vrabel’s new-look squad, but this isn’t the week. The Jets have no explosive qualities on offense and back at Foxboro, we expect the home team to run away with this one.

Jets vs Patriots prediction: Patriots -11.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

You can bet on our Jets vs Patriots pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and receive $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY if your first $10+ wager is a winner!

BET -11.5 NOW WITH
Fanatics Sportsbook$2,000
JOIN NOW
bet365$200
JOIN NOW
BetMGM$1500
JOIN NOW
Caesars Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
DraftKings$300
JOIN NOW
FanDuel Sportsbook$150
JOIN NOW
Sleeper$20
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Dabble Fantasy$25
JOIN NOW
Parlay Play$100
JOIN NOW
betr$200
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Chris R. Farley
Player Rush Attempts Pick
D. Maye (NE) - Over 5.5 rush attempts(+105)

The Jets’ pass rush generated a season-high 19 hurries in Week 10 against the Browns — the previous season high was in Week 3 with 15. It’s counterintuitive to think the Jets lose their 2 best defensive players via trade the week prior and perform at an exceptional level, but it can be viewed as a fresh start in New York, backed by additional confidence in head coach Aaron Glenn. Assuming this newfound vigor carries over into Week 11, Drake Maye has a league-leading 25 scrambles while under pressure on 364 drops, roughly 7%. He’s cleared this number in 7 of 10 games this season and we get the added benefit of this being a 13-point spread. By this I mean that kneel-downs in victory formation will count as rush attempts for our bet.

BET +5.5 NOW WITH
Fanatics Sportsbook$2,000
JOIN NOW
bet365$200
JOIN NOW
BetMGM$1500
JOIN NOW
Caesars Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
DraftKings$300
JOIN NOW
FanDuel Sportsbook$150
JOIN NOW
Sleeper$20
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Dabble Fantasy$25
JOIN NOW
Parlay Play$100
JOIN NOW
betr$200
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
Game Totals Pick
Under 43.5(-110)

The total was immediately bet down in this contest and at least a small part of that is because of the weather. Foxboro is forecasted to be near freezing and windy, making temperatures feel bitterly cold for a traditional AFC East rivalry. Most of this number’s degradation has to do with the Jets’ offense, or lack thereof.

Not surprisingly, the Jets are in the bottom-tier of NFL teams in nearly every advanced metric on passing, measuring 26th or worse in EPA per pass, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage. No team has fewer total pass yards (1526). 

That’s a clear problem against the Patriots, who rank top-5 or better in all the same categories. On the ground New York is more formidable, with metrics like 23rd in EPA per rush and the seventh most rushing yards in the NFL, but that’s also an issue against New England. The Patriots’ defense has been at its best against opponent ground attacks, ranking top-6 in defensive EPA per rush and allowing the second fewest rushing yards despite no bye-week yet (792). 

The Jets’ defense has not been good this season, but we like how fired up they played last weekend. That fire shouldn’t die against an AFC East opponent. We saw signs of a little regression in Drake Maye, whose next to perfect season (he now leads all odds to become NFL MVP) will eventually experience a hiccup or two, especially with lowered expectations against a rival they’re expected to clobber. New York’s lack of output should mean very few points, and we doubt New England could ease off the gas in this sleepy contest in a short week.

Jets vs Patriots pick: Under 43.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 42.5.

You can bet on our Jets vs Patriots pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and receive $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY if your first $10+ wager is a winner!

BET u43.5 NOW WITH
Fanatics Sportsbook$2,000
JOIN NOW
bet365$200
JOIN NOW
BetMGM$1500
JOIN NOW
Caesars Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
DraftKings$300
JOIN NOW
FanDuel Sportsbook$150
JOIN NOW
Sleeper$20
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Dabble Fantasy$25
JOIN NOW
Parlay Play$100
JOIN NOW
betr$200
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Chris R. Farley
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
B. Hall (NYJ) to score a TD(+145)

Regardless of how the Jets offense approaches this contest, they’ll need to have some success on the ground. On that front, it’s hard to ignore the value we’re getting with Breece Hall to find the end zone at the current odds. After all, the Iowa State product is in the midst of a solid bounce-back season and he’s been in especially good form in recent weeks, racking up over 200 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns over the last couple of games. While the Patriots’ rush defense has been very strong in the red zone this season, Hall should get plenty of touches both on the ground and out of the backfield in the passing game near the goal line. With that in mind, let’s back the Jets’ top running back to find paydirt on the road well into plus-money odds.

BET +145 NOW WITH
Fanatics Sportsbook$2,000
JOIN NOW
bet365$200
JOIN NOW
BetMGM$1500
JOIN NOW
Caesars Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
DraftKings$300
JOIN NOW
FanDuel Sportsbook$150
JOIN NOW
Sleeper$20
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Dabble Fantasy$25
JOIN NOW
Parlay Play$100
JOIN NOW
betr$200
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Caleb Wilfinger
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
H. Henry (NE) to score a TD(+160)

On the New England side of things, the Patriots’ offense has been rolling of late, and much of that is due to the advancement of 2nd-year quarterback Drake Maye. The North Carolina product is now the MVP favorite, and one of his favorite targets is Hunter Henry. The tight end has been a reliable security blanket for the young quarterback, particularly in the red zone, where Henry has recorded 4 touchdowns on the season. The Jets have done a solid job against the run, but this new-look defense was pretty vulnerable against the tight end spot last week, and that could continue in this matchup. Therefore, let’s roll with Henry to find the end zone once again on Thursday Night Football.

BET +160 NOW WITH
Fanatics Sportsbook$2,000
JOIN NOW
bet365$200
JOIN NOW
BetMGM$1500
JOIN NOW
Caesars Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
DraftKings$300
JOIN NOW
FanDuel Sportsbook$150
JOIN NOW
Sleeper$20
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Dabble Fantasy$25
JOIN NOW
Parlay Play$100
JOIN NOW
betr$200
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Caleb Wilfinger
Photo of Chris Farley

Chris Farley

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
@FarleyBets
Read more about Chris Farley

Same Game Parlay

Alternate Point Spread
NY Jets +10.5
Alternate Game Total
Under 41.5
Player Passing Yards
D. Maye (NE) - Under 241.5 pass yds

New York Jets +10.5 alternate spread over New England Patriots (-102) 

From out of nowhere, the Jets have won 2 games in a row. I don’t think they will make it 3 straight on Thursday, but staying within 10 points of the Patriots is well within reason. Head coach Aaron Glenn’s club came close to winning some games earlier in the season and it finally put things all together during recent victories over Cincinnati and Cleveland. Obviously beating those 2 unspectacular AFC North foes is nothing special, but…it’s something. 

Despite the recent departures of tackle Quinnen Williams and cornerback Sauce Gardner, New York’s defense actually looked pretty good in Week 10. It sacked Browns QB Dillon Gabriel 6 times and held Cleveland to an anemic 4 yards per play. If the Jets perform like that again on Thursday, they will at least keep this contest somewhat close.

Under 41.5 alternate total (+102)

This is a division-rivalry matchup between 2 teams that obviously know each other inside and out and are playing on a short week. It’s a recipe for the kind of ugly, low-scoring slog that we often witness on Thursday Night Football. That’s why I like both the Jets and the under. The visitors probably wouldn’t be able to keep up with New England in a high-scoring shootout, but they can certainly cover if they also keep this game under the total. The Jets are #26 or worse in passing offense (dead last), EPA per pass, passing touchdowns and completion percentage. Now they have to face a Patriots defense that is top 5 in all of those same categories. Fortunately for New York, its defense is showing signs of life.

Drake Maye Under 241.5 passing yards (-114)

This is not really a knock on Maye – after all, he is the current betting favorite to win NFL MVP. On sheer volume alone, he may not be able to exceed this number. Although we need the Jets to stay relatively close in order to cash the first leg, I think everyone believes that the Patriots will be playing from ahead much if not all of the way in this contest. As such, the likely game script will call for the home team to keep the ball on the ground and run the clock. It’s actually a sensible strategy against the Jets regardless of what the scoreboard says. New York #25 league wide against the run, giving up 138.2 yards per game on 4.6 yards per carry. It is #8 against the pass, holding opponents to a mere 190.8 yards per game on 6.8 yards per attempt.

BET +445 NOW WITH
Ricky Dimon

Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Player Rush Attempts Pick
D. Maye (NE) - Over 5.5 rush attempts(+105)

The Jets’ pass rush generated a season-high 19 hurries in Week 10 against the Browns — the previous season high was in Week 3 with 15. It’s counterintuitive to think the Jets lose their 2 best defensive players via trade the week prior and perform at an exceptional level, but it can be viewed as a fresh start in New York, backed by additional confidence in head coach Aaron Glenn. Assuming this newfound vigor carries over into Week 11, Drake Maye has a league-leading 25 scrambles while under pressure on 364 drops, roughly 7%. He’s cleared this number in 7 of 10 games this season and we get the added benefit of this being a 13-point spread. By this I mean that kneel-downs in victory formation will count as rush attempts for our bet.

BET +5.5 NOW WITH
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Fliff Social Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Chanced.com280 Coins
JOIN NOW
Chanced.com280 Coins
JOIN NOW
Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
B. Hall (NYJ) to score a TD(+145)

Regardless of how the Jets offense approaches this contest, they’ll need to have some success on the ground. On that front, it’s hard to ignore the value we’re getting with Breece Hall to find the end zone at the current odds. After all, the Iowa State product is in the midst of a solid bounce-back season and he’s been in especially good form in recent weeks, racking up over 200 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns over the last couple of games. While the Patriots’ rush defense has been very strong in the red zone this season, Hall should get plenty of touches both on the ground and out of the backfield in the passing game near the goal line. With that in mind, let’s back the Jets’ top running back to find paydirt on the road well into plus-money odds.

BET +145 NOW WITH
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Fliff Social Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Chanced.com280 Coins
JOIN NOW
Chanced.com280 Coins
JOIN NOW
Caleb Wilfinger
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
H. Henry (NE) to score a TD(+160)

On the New England side of things, the Patriots’ offense has been rolling of late, and much of that is due to the advancement of 2nd-year quarterback Drake Maye. The North Carolina product is now the MVP favorite, and one of his favorite targets is Hunter Henry. The tight end has been a reliable security blanket for the young quarterback, particularly in the red zone, where Henry has recorded 4 touchdowns on the season. The Jets have done a solid job against the run, but this new-look defense was pretty vulnerable against the tight end spot last week, and that could continue in this matchup. Therefore, let’s roll with Henry to find the end zone once again on Thursday Night Football.

BET +160 NOW WITH
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
PlayBracco750
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Jackpota60 Sweeps Coins
JOIN NOW
Fliff Social Sportsbook$200
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
UnderdogBonus
JOIN NOW
Chanced.com280 Coins
JOIN NOW
Chanced.com280 Coins
JOIN NOW
Caleb Wilfinger

Featured In

Top Trends
Point Spread

The Jets have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games (71%) as an underdog.

Game Totals

The Patriots' last 3 home games have gone Over the total.

Money Line

The Patriots have won their last 3 matchups against AFC East opposition.

PlayBracco

750

50% First Deposit Bonus, up to 750 Bracco Cash

Sign up for a new account on PlayBracco

Make your first deposit

It\\\'ll be matched 50%, up to 750 Bracco Cash!

This promotion is available to new Bracco customers only. Customers must be 18 years of age or older (or the legal age of majority in their jurisdiction) to participate. This offer is limited to one promotion per person, household, IP address, and payment method.

PlayBracco

750

50% First Deposit Bonus, up to 750 Bracco Cash

Sign up for a new account on PlayBracco

Make your first deposit

It\'ll be matched 50%, up to 750 Bracco Cash!

This promotion is available to new Bracco customers only. Customers must be 18 years of age or older (or the legal age of majority in their jurisdiction) to participate. This offer is limited to one promotion per person, household, IP address, and payment method.

PlayBracco

750

50% First Deposit Bonus, up to 750 Bracco Cash

Sign up for a new account on PlayBracco

Make your first deposit

It'll be matched 50%, up to 750 Bracco Cash!

This promotion is available to new Bracco customers only. Customers must be 18 years of age or older (or the legal age of majority in their jurisdiction) to participate. This offer is limited to one promotion per person, household, IP address, and payment method.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Fliff Social Sportsbook

$200

Spend $100, Get $200 in Fliff Coins

Download the Fliff Sportsbook app and sign up for an account

Spend $100 on any wagers

You'll get $200 back in Fliff Coins

Promotional offer only valid for new users that are 18+ years old. Purchase of Fliff Coins is not required to participate in sweepstakes. In-app purchases do not increase a player\\\'s odds of winning sweepstakes. Fliff Cash credits will only be given to users with less than $5 available in Fliff Cash in their account. Fliff Coins are not eligible for cash withdrawals.

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.\"

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

NFL Analysis

See All NFL News
New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) throws downfield during the second quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium.

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Player Prop Predictions: Best NFL Player Props for Thursday Night Football, Week 11, feat. Drake Maye

We’ve hit a string of awful primetime games dating back to Week 8 TNF. It’s sadly that time of year where injuries and snaps are starting to accumulate for every team, and playing on a short week ...

NFLPosted 1 hour ago
New England Patriots tight end Hunter Henry (85) celebrates in the end zone after scoring a touchdown Saturday, Dec. 18, 2021, during a game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Best Bets for TNF Week 11, feat. Breece Hall & Hunter Henry

NFLPosted 1 hour ago
New York Jets running back Breece Hall (20) celebrates with his teammates after scoring a fourth quarter touchdown, Sunday January 5, 2025, in East Rutherford

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Same Game Parlay: NFL Parlay Picks for Thursday Night Football, Week 11

NFLPosted 1 hour ago
New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) is sacked by New York Jets defensive end Will McDonald IV (99) during the fourth quarter at MetLife Stadium.

Thursday Night Football Betting Guide: New York Jets vs New England Patriots Expert Picks, Odds & Best Bets for Week 11

NFLPosted 7 hours ago