Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Odds and SNF Picks for Sunday, 11/09/25

SoFi StadiumNBC
Steelers
Steelers
Sun Nov 9
Chargers
Chargers
WWLLW
Last 5
LWLWW
5-3Record6-3
4-4-0ATS Record4-5-0
5-3O/U Record5-4
Los Angeles Chargers

Steelers vs Chargers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
PIT Steelers +3.0(-110)

The Chargers pulled out their second straight win and moved to 6-3 on the season but it didn’t come easy. Playing with nothing to lose, the Titans were at their best on Sunday, finally getting through a full game without a turnover. Their offense still wasn’t enough to do anything significant against Jim Harbaugh’s defense, though, a group that held Tennessee to just 20 first downs and 206 yards. The visiting Chargers controlled most of the matchup, behind another Herculean effort by Justin Herbert (250 passing yards, 57 rushing yards, three total touchdowns). Their rushing attack, which was led by second-year back Kimani Vidal, was their biggest letdown of the week, netting only 74 yards on 21 carries between Vidal and Jaret Patterson.

Despite a win, the biggest news from Chargers’ camp was Joe Alt’s season ending ankle injury. The left tackle, who was rated higher than any other player at his position this season, was a massive part of the Bolts’ offense. Without him, the Chargers obviously regressed in weeks prior, starting with a loss at the Giants, a loss versus Washington, a closely fought game against the Dolphins and another loss versus the Colts. In every contest, their offense was more challenged without the 6’8” Alt. Upon his return, the Chargers’ offense instantly looked explosive, affording Herbert more time on every play, until he went down on Sunday. Making matters worse, right tackle Bobby Hart, who’s played well as the Chargers’ front continued to incur injuries, went down with an ankle and groin injury this past Sunday. The Chargers’ injury issues should not be understated, nor would we expect the same production moving forward, although they did trade for Trevor Penning, a veteran left tackle from New Orleans. It remains to be seen how formidable he’ll be in Alt’s absence.

The Steelers are experiencing no such issues. In their best defensive performance of the season, Pittsburgh caused havoc in Week 9 in all the ways we’ve got accustomed to seeing from the star-studded group. As a unit, they had 13 passes deflected, five sacks, five QB hits, six tackles for a loss, and forced six turnovers. It was a sterling reminder of what the Steelers’ defense could be every week if they played up to their potential. Their offense, which continues to defy expectations (25.3 points per game, 12th) despite a shallow roster surrounding Aaron Rodgers, did enough in Week 9, although it was their defense that manufactured the win.

Rodgers and the Steelers’ offense has its struggles, a group that’s 28th in yards per carry (3.8) and 19th in yards per pass (7.0), but we think they can win plenty on defense. Mike Tomlin is an outrageous 67-40-4 (62%) ATS as an underdog, and we like him to get another this Sunday night.

Steelers vs Chargers prediction: Steelers +3 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

You can bet on our Steelers vs Chargers pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and receive $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY if your first $10+ wager is a winner!

Chris R. Farley
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.0(-110)

The Chargers’ offense looked its worst when Joe Alt, their esteemed left tackle who’s now out for the season, wasn’t in the game. Justin Herbert was sacked 10 times in a four-game span, a mark that probably should have been higher but the Miami defense has no pass-rush to speak of. Last week when Alt left their game against Tennessee in the second quarter, the Titans’ defense, a group that ranked below-average by most pass-rushing metrics entering Week 9, trampled Herbert for six sacks.

Of course, besides the Giants, the Chargers haven’t faced an elite pass-rushing defense without Alt, but that’s about to change on Sunday night. The Steelers haven’t always shown their best this season. That’s certainly true defensively, where they permit 24.4 points (21st) and 383.8 (30th) yards per game. That doesn’t change the fact that they own one of the most talented defensive lines in the NFL. Surprisingly, Pittsburgh has gained the most sacks against some of the better offensive lines on their schedule, accruing 22 against the Patriots, Vikings, Browns, and Colts. 

The Chargers defense is healthy, which is a big part of why they’ve only allowed 30 total points the past two weeks. We expect them to limit a Steelers’ offense that’s good not great, one that depends on Aaron Rodgers’ savvy and big plays (they’re 7th in points per play) to score points. But the Bolts have been effective at limiting big plays, and they’re a top-4 team unit in the red-zone. The Steelers’ offense also hasn’t been very effective lately, accumulating just 520 yards the last two weeks. 

This number is sitting in no man’s land, probably because the two teams combine for a 10-7 record ATS to the over, but we don’t see how either offense will thrive.

Steelers vs Chargers pick: Under 45 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 44.5.

Bet like a Caesar with this AMAZING new customer offer from Caesars Sportsbook. If you bet just $1, you’ll receive DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS on your next 20 bets! Become a Caesars member 👥 using the Caesars promo code PWCONTENT20X, where you can bet on our Steelers vs Chargers picks.

Chris R. Farley
Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
Read more about Chris Farley
Top Trends
Point Spread

The Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Money Line

The Steelers have won 4 of their last 5 matchups against AFC West teams.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Jackpota

60 Sweeps Coins

200% on First Purchase: 120,000 GC + 60 FREE SC

Sign up for a new Jackpota account

Make a $19.99 purchase and you'll get 200% match

Plus, you'll get 120,000 Gold Coins + 60 FREE Sweeps Coins

No Purchase Necessary. 21+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Fliff Social Sportsbook

$200

Spend $100, Get $200 in Fliff Coins

Download the Fliff Sportsbook app and sign up for an account

Spend $100 on any wagers

You'll get $200 back in Fliff Coins

Promotional offer only valid for new users that are 18+ years old. Purchase of Fliff Coins is not required to participate in sweepstakes. In-app purchases do not increase a player\\\'s odds of winning sweepstakes. Fliff Cash credits will only be given to users with less than $5 available in Fliff Cash in their account. Fliff Coins are not eligible for cash withdrawals.

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Underdog

Bonus

Play Now on Underdog

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI,NY, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.\"

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Chanced.com

280 Coins

Mega Boost: Up to 280 Free Sweep Coins + 2.8M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Punt.com

150 Coins

Up to 150 Free Sweeps Coins + 1.5M Gold Coins on First Purchase

"No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use."

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Punt.com

150 Coins

Up to 150 Free Sweeps Coins + 1.5M Gold Coins on First Purchase

No Purchase Necessary. 18+

Void where prohibited by law.

See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

No Purchase Necessary. 18+ Void where prohibited by law. See Terms of Service/Terms of Conditions/Terms of Use.

Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy