Seahawks vs Patriots: Super Bowl 60 Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday, 02/08/26

The Patriots advanced to Super Bowl LX, but it wasn’t pretty. Right from the start, Drake Maye and the offense looked out of place. In the opening series, Maye nearly threw an interception that really should have been a pick-six. A fortunate fumble by Jarrett Stidham, forced by an opportunistic defense, created a scoring opportunity for New England despite only gaining 67 yards in the first half. In the second half, they opened up with an incredible drive (9 minutes and 31 seconds), but they still couldn’t cash it in to score a touchdown. From there, the weather took over, disabling both offenses from gaining significant yardage or putting any more points on the scoreboard. New England’s defense was impressive when it had to be, although Stidham and the Denver offense moved the ball when the weather was complementary, gaining 9 first downs in the first half. 

Under the new regime of Mike Vrabel and their 2nd-year star quarterback, the Patriots are clearly a very good team or they wouldn’t be in the championship game. They’ve also had an extremely advantageous route to get there.  According to many different metrics, the Patriots were given the easiest schedule in the NFL in the regular season. In the playoffs, they beat 2 hapless offenses that EPA metrics ranked in the bottom-10. In the AFC Championship, they faced a backup quarterback, yet still nearly lost. We respect and we are impressed by what the Patriots have done this season, but we’re still inclined to doubt purely because of how they got there. 

On the other hand, we couldn’t be more impressed by Mike Macdonald and the Seahawks. The Rams brought an extremely prolific offense and Super Bowl-winning quarterback to Lumen Field, but it was Seattle’s defense that made the biggest plays in high-pressure moments. On a crucial 84-yard drive late in the 4th quarter, Matthew Stafford and his teammates were stymied just 6 yards from the end zone, a stop that ended up deciding the contest. Even better, Sam Darnold played one of the cleanest, most efficient games of his career (25/36, 346 yards, 3 touchdowns). He avoided mistakes, stayed poised, and converted for multiple first downs on his team’s final drive. Giving Stafford and the Rams’ offense less than 30 seconds, Seattle closed it out and outperformed one of the NFL’s best teams for the 2nd time this season. The Seahawks are perhaps the most well-balanced team in the NFL (and it’s shown).   

We are huge fans of Mike Vrabel and 2 years ago thought it was clinically insane when the Titans’ front office decided to fire him. His coaching was New England’s edge in the AFC Championship game and we’re positive his Patriots will be back in the postseason for many years to come. At the same time, Seattle’s defense is extremely disciplined and effective in big moments. We trust them to rattle young Drake Maye. Meanwhile, Darnold is playing at the highest level of his career. We also trust Macdonald, who is clearly one of the league’s best and brightest young coaches, to have his boys ready. Furthermore, we expect the Seahawks’ offense and its many weapons to find success early and often, even if New England’s defense plays its best. Most importantly, Seattle has been battle-tested far more than New England, which will pay instant dividends in the most nerve-racking spot of the season. The matchup and the intangibles favor a runaway victory for the Seahawks.

Seahawks vs Patriots best bet: Seahawks -4.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 6.5.

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