Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/14/25

Aaron Rodgers will look to build on the strong start to his Pittsburgh Steelers career as the Steelers take on the Seattle Seahawks. I don’t think Rodgers’ strong Week 1 was a fluke, and I like their chances of covering at home. Rodgers was coming off an Achilles’ tear last year, so I don’t think it was ever really fair to expect much from him with the Jets last season. And although he admittedly looked worse than I expected, all the talk calling him washed was clearly premature.

He’s now in a much better situation than before in terms of both talent and coaching, and I’m a big fan of Pittsburgh OC Arthur Smith — another guy I also feel has always gotten a bad rap. The first game of their new partnership went swimmingly, as Rodgers threw for 4 touchdowns and averaged over 8 yards per attempt in a revenge game against the Jets. Seattle also underwent a lot of change this offseason, parting ways with Geno Smith, but the first game of a new era didn’t go as smoothly. The Seahawks lost at home to the 49ers and scored just 13 points.

And that’s despite San Francisco playing a shaky game in which Brock Purdy threw 2 interceptions and Christian McCaffrey averaged just 3.1 yards per attempt. All that at home, and the Seahawks still got dominated as the 49ers out-gained them 384-230. Their ground game couldn’t get anything going, and practically nobody besides Jaxson Smith-Njigba could even catch a pass. Outside of JSN, Seahawks pass-catchers had a grand total of 26 receiving yards. And the Steelers now have Jalen Ramsey to help neutralize Smith-Njigba.

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction: Steelers -3 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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I also am betting the over. In a Week 1 slate that featured a ton of unders, Pittsburgh played in one of the week’s only shootouts — yet this total is still extremely low. I don’t think most people are properly handicapping this new Steelers offense, and I don’t think last week was a fluke at all. Aaron Rodgers looks fully recovered from his Achilles’ tear, and he is in his best situation since leaving the Packers.

The offense is going to continue to be creative with Arthur Smith calling the plays, whereas Pittsburgh’s defense actually looked a bit shaky. The Steelers let Justin Fields carve them up in his Jets debut, averaging 9.9 yards per attempt, while Breece Hall shredded them for 107 yards on the ground. Pittsburgh couldn’t run the ball at all last week, and it looks like for the first time in many years this franchise is willing to open things up and take more of a pass-heavy approach — whereas this line is set as if Pittsburgh is going to be extremely conservative.

Sam Darnold was playing his first game in a new system last week, and I think he’ll look a lot more comfortable on Sunday. His debut wasn’t great, but he at least showed off a strong connection with new top receiver Jaxson Smith-Njigba — who had 124 yards in Week 1.

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction: Over 40 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to 41.

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