HomeNFLNFL PredictionsWashington Commanders vs New York Giants Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 15 2025

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Predictions, Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 15 2025 for Sunday, 12/14/25

Updated: 11:21 AM ET Dec 11, 2025

MetLife StadiumFOX

Commanders

1:00 PM ETSun Dec 14

Giants

LLLLL	Last 5	LLLLL
3-10	Record	2-11
4-9-0	ATS Record	7-6-0
6-7	O/U Record	8-5

Commanders vs Giants Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick

WAS Commanders +2.5(-105)

Reasoning

The 3-10 Washington Commanders head to MetLife Stadium to take on the 2-11 New York Giants this Sunday in what should be one of the less exciting games on the NFL Week 15 slate. Washington is in complete free fall entering this game, as the Commanders were shut out by the Minnesota Vikings 31-0 last week, and QB Jayden Daniels exited the game after aggravating the same elbow he hurt in Week 8. The sophomore quarterback will not start in this game, so Marcus Mariota will be back under center. Although he is just 1-5 as a starter for Washington this season, he’s played well in his last two outings, which were overtime defeats to the Miami Dolphins and Denver Broncos by a combined 4 points.

The Giants enter this game off their bye week, but they still have eight players who didn’t participate in Wednesday’s practice. It has been a season to forget for New York, in the midst of a 7-game losing streak. The only positive is that each of those seven defeats has come against teams above 0.500, so playing a weak Commanders squad will be a relief for Jaxson Dart and company. The Giants’ biggest weakness this season has been their rushing defense, as they give up a league-worst 5.8 yards per carry and 154.2 rushing yards per game (31st in the NFL). This doesn’t bode well against a Washington squad that’s putting up 136.5 rushing yards per game (4th in the NFL) and 4.9 yards per carry (7th in the NFL).

New York has the rest advantage, but since the start of last season, the Giants just 1-5 straight up on any extended prep time. Additionally, buying a team after being shut out has been profitable. Since 2015, teams that were shut out in their previous game are 34-17-3 ATS, including 4-0 ATS this season. I’m expecting an ugly affair in this one, but I’ll take Washington with the points.

Commanders vs Giants prediction: Commanders +2.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick

Over 47.0(-110)

Reasoning

These two squads are both in free fall, as they’re a combined 0-15 in their last 15 games. However, I think we will see some points at MetLife on Sunday. First off, the Commanders will be able to exploit a Giants rushing defense that couldn’t stop a nose bleed with the way they’ve played. They’re coming off back-to-back losses to the Patriots and Lions in which they allowed 395 and 494 total yards, and are giving up 6.7 yards per carry over their last 3 games. This doesn’t bode well against a Commanders squad that is 4th in the NFL in rushing yards per game and will be extra motivated after being shut out by the Vikings last week.

On the flip side, I expect Jaxson Dart to have a big game against a Commanders secondary that is one of the worst units in the NFL. Washington has allowed a league-worst 8.1 yards per pass attempt this season, and CB Jonathan Jones and LB Bobby Wagner both missed Wednesday’s practice. Although the Giants haven’t won many games this season, their passing game has been quite strong. New York is averaging 7.2 yards per pass attempt this season (11th in the NFL), and that number has ticked up to 8.2 in its last 3 games (6th in the NFL).

Both offenses should be able to put up points this Sunday. The Commanders have allowed at least 25 points in 6 of their last 7 games and are allowing 27.1 points per game on the road this season (27th in the NFL). The picture for the Giants isn’t better, as New York has given up 24 or more in 8 of their last 9 contests and allows 28.2 PPG (30th in the NFL). These are 2 of the worst defenses in the NFL, so give me the over this Sunday.

Commanders vs Giants prediction: Over 47 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Show Bio

Luke Lindholm is the North American Content Editor for Spotlight Sports Group (SSG) and is living in Boston, Massachusetts. Luke has been handicapping the NFL, NCAAF, MLS, and other major Soccer tournaments since 2021 and loves sharing knowledge with other knowledgeable handicappers in the sports betting industry. For Luke Lindholm media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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