NFL Prop Bets
Get our best NFL prop bets every week of the 2025-26 season. Our experts do the research and crunch the data to bring you the best value NFL player props. Through the conclusion of the regular season, Wild Card Weekend, and the Divisional Round, our experts have 58 winning NFL player props for a total of +9.85 units profit.
What are NFL Prop Bets
NFL Prop Bets or Prop Bets in general are bets on the occurrence or non-occurrence of a specific thing to happen during a game. Instead of betting on the outcome of a game, you’re betting on the proposition of something within the game.. The most popular types of prop bets are NFL player prop bets and NFL team prop bets, focussing on individual players or teams performances respectively. Both NFL player props and NFL team props tend to take the format of over/unders bets on stats such as yards, sacks and touchdowns or the occurrence and non-occurrence of events within a game, you can even wager on when these events will happen. In other words, there’s a huge range of NFL Prop markets for every game, all season long.
Why Trust Our NFL Props?
At Pickswise, we know it’s the numbers that matter. Whoever the expert, only a winning record can be trusted. So far this NFL season our player prop picks have landed 56 wins, for a profit of +13 betting units, and our NFL props expert Prop Holliday has won on prop picks at +550 and +1100. This record is one you can trust.
Prop bets demand more than surface-level analysis, and that’s where our expertise makes the difference. We combine advanced player statistics, matchup data, and market insights to identify the most valuable prop opportunities each week. From quarterback passing yards to anytime touchdown scorers, every recommendation is grounded in current form, historical trends, and real-time injury updates. We’re transparent about our process, continually update our analysis as news breaks, and focus on delivering honest, well-researched player prop picks you can rely on.
NFL Player Props
NFL Player Prop Bets are centered around a player’s performance in a particular game. The most commonly wagered NFL Player Prop Bets are passing yards, receiving yards, rushing yards, or a combination of the two for all-purpose yards, these are often an over/unders bet on your chosen players line set by the sportsbook. Near enough all online sportsbooks offering odds on football also offer odds on Player Touchdowns, be it First, Last, or anytime. Defensive players aren’t forgotten in the Prop Bet markets either, with options to wager on a player to record an interception or a sack also available as well as over/unders bets on these stats.
For example, if you think a match-up between the Ravens and the Bills is too close to call and the moneyline odds don’t offer the value you’re looking for, you can still exploit two of the NFL’s top quarterbacks and wager on Lamar Jackson to rack up rushing yards or Josh Allen to have a good day passing the ball. Of course, there’s a whole host of other player prop options available, such as Zay Flowers’ receiving yards, Matt Prater’s field goals, which player will score the first touchdown and many more.
The NFL Player Prop markets have almost endless possibilities, making expert insight into individual matchups crucial to finding betting value. In the age of statistics and fantasy football, player prop betting is a great way to utilize the wealth of information available to place a wager on a player’s individual performance.
Our experts analyze the game conditions from injuries, and the weather, to how the teams and players match up. Everything is considered in highlighting the best NFL player prop bets this week, Whether it’s a wide receiver that’s too good for the defense or a pass rusher too strong for the offensive line, our handicappers find matchups to exploit and the players to back for winning NFL player props.
Best Sportsbooks For NFL Prop Bets
Prop betting is becoming increasingly popular and the prop bets markets are championed by no sport more than professional football. Almost all online sportsbooks will offer prop bets on NFL games, but the bigger online sportsbooks such as FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365 and Fanatics lead the way in terms of variation within the NFL prop bet markets.
Just as important, if not more so than variation, is value. The number of sportsbooks offering NFL prop bets means you can find the best odds for your prop bets, be sure to compare the prices of your NFL prop bet picks, as you often see one sportsbook price up a player to score first at +400 but another could offer +600.
As with all of our NFL picks, we post the best odds and the sportsbook offering those odds next to our NFL prop bet selections, but if you want more information about the best online sportsbooks to wager with, check out our comprehensive online sportsbook recommendations, or our full NFL betting guide.
Best NFL Prop Bets
NFL Player props and NFL prop bets generally offer a ton of opportunity. The sheer number of NFL players means the prop lines offered by sportsbooks are more prone to inefficiency than the spread or totals, hundreds of players need to be priced each week of the season, so successful NFL prop bets depend on finding and exploiting these lines. That’s where our experts come in, we do the research for you and find the lines to target.
The best NFL props require expertise and data-driven insights, that’s why we analyse all the stats and game conditions when making NFL player props and all our prop bets. Here are some of the statistics and strategies that go into the best NFL props.
- Pace of Play
Games with two top-10 pace teams have roughly 10% more offensive plays on average, making the overs on passing, receiving and rushing yards for key players a strong bet. - Injuries
When a starting wide-receiver or running back is ruled out, sportsbooks tend to under-adjust the replacement, but with a 20-30% increase in target share being common these situations can be exploited in the prop market. - Weather
In the winter months, teams and players have to adapt to the conditions. For example, if the wind is over 15mph pass yards reduce by 12% on average, making the unders on pass yards and receiving yards a good opportunity. Alternatively, this opens the possibilities for a spike in rushing yards or interceptions as well. - Adapting to Defenses
Identifying how teams operate on the defensive end can open up possibilities for props on offensive players. Blitz-heavy defenses often force the opposing quarterback to improvise, the more athletic or mobile QBs see a surge in their rush attempts in these matchups. Similarly, slot receivers often get more catches and potentially a boom in yards against zone defenses, players such as Cooper Kupp and Amon-Ra St. Brown have had great performances in these situations.
Importance of Stats, Models & Data to NFL Player Props
We at Pickswise know that NFL props are a massive part of any NFL bettor’s wagers on a Sunday. As such, we have compiled some of the most profitable and renowned NFL prop betting experts on our roster to deliver you the best team, and player props every week, from touchdown props, to yardage lines, leader. We take a heavily statistical approach, analyzing data sets to identify value in the market. Once this week’s prop lines are priced, we’ll look for a statistical edge, identifying weak numbers and even those that may be inflated by public money or skewed by historical/ recent bias’.
Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor