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Welcome to our NFL best bets section where we outline our NFL best bets for today’s games. With up to 16 NFL games a week, and up to 14 on a Sunday, be sure to check out our NFL Picks homepage for all of our remaining NFL Picks, or head to the NFL Prop Bets page for the week’s top NFL Prop Bets plays.
Both Detroit and Atlanta returned to winning ways last weekend, and it looks like oddsmakers are overreacting to the Falcons’ 40-23 win over the Vikings. Yes, Atlanta looked a lot better in that resounding win, but after weeks of mediocrity and blown leads can this team really be trusted? The Lions recorded their second win of the season with a comfortable 34-16 victory over the Jaguars, and they are finally looking like the team everyone expected them to be. To be fair to Matt Patricia’s team, it has always looked better than its 2-3 record. D’Andre Swift dropped a game-winning catch in an opening defeat against Chicago, and the Lions held 14-point leads against both Green Bay and New Orleans. Now with Swift looking hotter in the backfield, the sky could be the limit for this Detroit offense and I expect them to flourish against Atlanta’s ailing defense. The Falcons have given up 8.9 yards per pass attempt and allowed 18 passing touchdowns this season–both the highest in the league. When you consider Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford has the likes of Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and T.J. Hockenson at his disposal, it’s hard to see Atlanta putting up much of a fight. Take the Lions and the points with confidence.
The Green Bay Packers were embarrassed last week by Tampa Bay in front of most of the country (unless you watched the Jets-Dolphins game instead). Aaron Rodgers was held to 160 yards passing, two picks (one which was returned for a score), and zero touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s defense was the reason the Green Bay offense was unable to move the ball. The Buccaneers held the Packers to just 3.3 yards per play and 10 points, which were all scored on the first two drives. However, it must be noted that Tampa Bay is the No. 1-ranked defense in DVOA. The Packers’ offense will be back to normal this week against a poor Houston Texans defense, which ranks 27th in DVOA and 28th in defensive passing efficiency. Don’t let one bad performance against a top defense put you off Green Bay here. The visitors will be able to move the ball through the air or on the ground. Houston gives up 5.4 yards per carry on the ground, 7.2 yards per pass attempt, and allowed more than 600 yards of total offense against the Titans last week! Expect a big bounce-back game from the Packers and a ton of points against this Texans defensive unit.
Two teams from opposing conferences that desperately need a win will face off as the New England Patriots host the San Francisco 49ers. San Francisco is coming off a huge win over the Rams in primetime, while the Patriots most recently endured an embarrassing home loss to the Broncos, so this is the perfect buy-low/sell-high opportunity. Just because San Francisco beat the Rams in a game in which Jared Goff played poorly doesn’t mean all their issues are suddenly solved. The 49ers are still besieged by injuries, and without guys like Nick Bosa, Solomon Thomas, and Dee Ford on the defensive line, I don’t see them getting much push in the trenches against New England’s O-line–which is the key to beating them. Bill Belichick coached Jimmy Garoppolo for many years, and I think he knows exactly how to game-plan for his weaknesses. Cam Newton isn’t going to have two poor games in a row, and I think he was just shaking off some rust last week against Denver after his COVID-19 absence. That whole game was weird for the Pats, as they couldn’t practice at all. They should look much sharper here. Take the home team.
Monday Night Football is between two solid NFC teams as the Los Angeles Rams host the Chicago Bears. Chicago is 5-1, but it certainly hasn’t been pretty. Only one of the Bears’ wins has been impressive, as I’m not giving them too much credit for beating the Lions, Giants, Falcons, and Panthers all by narrow margins. The switch to Nick Foles hasn’t really changed much for the offense, as Foles has mostly looked dreadful outside of a hot quarter or two here and there. He’s averaging an anemic 5.8 yards per attempt with an interception in each of his four appearances. He hasn’t averaged more than 6.5 yards per attempt in a single game. That’s not going to cut it on the road against the Rams. Los Angeles is hurting after its ugly loss to the 49ers, and everything this team has said this week indicates that it is going to come out fired up for this one. If there’s anyone who can scheme against this Bears defense it’s Sean McVay, and I think he will be able to cook up plenty of easy throws for Jared Goff. Lay the points with the Rams here.
At Pickswise we conduct extensive research across every morsel of NFL action throughout the season to bring to you our free NFL best bets.
Although the NFL regular season is just 17 weeks long, there are still 256 regular-season NFL games to decipher, as well as the NFL playoffs, and we bring you free daily picks for every game on the slate.
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There are countless ways in which you can wager on an NFL game and with up to 16 matches a week and at times, 14 games on a Sunday, being selective in your wagering is one of the most important aspects in achieving long-term betting success.
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