Super Bowl 2021 Picks

Pickswise is the home of the 2021 Super Bowl picks and betting previews. Our experts spend hours researching the statistics and data all season long, culminating in the most informed, researched, and very best free betting picks for Super Bowl LV, which takes place on Sunday, February 7, 2021. 

Our expert NFL handicappers will be on hand with Super Bowl Picks for all the best markets, highlighting the top picks and value picks out there. Check out our Super Bowl Picks Against the Spread, and our experts’ take on the Super Bowl Overs and Unders, Match Totals, as well as the best Super Bowl Prop Bets and Moneyline play.

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun Feb 7
Winner Pick
Kansas City Chiefs
Odds
Bonus
Winner Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Odds
Bonus
Winner Pick

After losing in Week 17 and Buffalo looking strong, the Chiefs are sitting at +225 heading into the playoffs. It’s tough to win back-to-back Super Bowls. The New England Patriots were the last team to repeat after they won back-to-back Super Bowls in 2004 and 2005. However, Patrick Mahomes in the past two seasons has an NFL MVP and Super Bowl MVP to his credit. He will finish in the top three of MVP voting this time. With a bye and home-field advantage throughout the AFC, Kansas City is set up nicely to repeat.

Winner Pick

The combination of a great defense and Tom Brady-led offense is too good to pass up. Brady and Antonio Brown began to develop some chemistry down the stretch. He helped his wide receiver earn a $250,000 bonus in Week 17 by making sure he caught 11 receptions to trigger an incentive. If the Buccaneers win the next Super Bowl, Antonio Brown will enjoy another $750,000 bonus. Tampa Bay gets to open with the NFC East champion (Washington), which is an absolutely ideal scenario. Plus the NFC is more navigable than the AFC, so at +1100 the Bucs have great value.

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The Home Of Free Expert Super Bowl 55 Picks

NFL wagering is easily the most popular among North American sports bettors and there is no single bigger event in the calendar than the culmination of the NFL season, the Super Bowl. NFL betting is unique in that point spreads, favorites, and picks are widely discussed year long, on every game, the Super Bowl is no different. The Super Bowl is widely discussed with a whole week of media, interviews, analysis, in a build-up like no other. With all of this attention comes a different challenge when making Super Bowl picks, with just one game to focus on, sportsbooks scrutinize every line and every market. There are also a lot more markets made available for the Super Bowl than you’ll be accustomed to with an NFL game, and our expert handicappers are on hand to research every angle and Super Bowl market to produce the best free Expert Super Bowl Picks as well as our Super Bowl Best Bets, Super Bowl Parlays and our very own data-driven Super Bowl Computer Picks. At Pickswise, we have all of your Super Bowl Picks, analysis, and stats under your roof.

Free Super Bowl Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, and the Super Bowl Picks take that to another level. On a  typical NFL game you are able to wager picks against the spread, over/unders, parlays, prop bets, and more, there really is a wager type for every kind of football fan and sports bettor. The Super Bowl has even more of each wager type and even has unique Super Bowl picks such as the national Anthem length, the artists opening song of the HalfTime Show, to the color of the Gatorade shower. Some bettors like to specialize in a single type of Super Bowl pick, while others may like to place a few picks just to add a bit of fun alongside watching the game. At Pickswise all of our Super Bowl picks are fully researched by our expert handicappers and are accompanied with full analysis and reasoning for the pick. So no matter what type of sports bettor you are, new or old, seasoned or rookie, we have all bases covered here with our Super Bowl picks.

Free Super Bowl Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the Super Bowl is against the spread (ATS). Much like the regular season, where it is a weekly staple for sports bettors, everyone from TV Analysts to professional sports bettors cast their opinion on which way the spread will land. With a Super Bowl pick Against the Spread, you are not simply picking who will lift the Lombardi Trophy but who will cover the spread, as set by sportsbooks ahead of the Super Bowl. For example, in 2020 the Kansas City Chiefs were 1.5-favorites, which meant to cover the spread they had to win by more than 1.5 points, or for San Francisco to win against the spread they would have to win or lose by less than 1.5 points. The final score was 31-20 to the Chiefs, therefore the Chiefs covered the spread, and Super Bowl picks on the Chiefs -1.5 would cash. A fun stat worth noting is that in NFL games, the team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

Super Bowl Over / Under Picks

Over/Under Super Bowl Picks are perfect when you aren’t 100% confident in which team is going to win and there is often no game more highly contested than the Super Bowl itself. Instead of choosing a team to win, or a team to cover the spread, you wager against a pre-set game total points line, and whether you see the game hitting over or under that line. This way you have both teams working for you, if you back the over you just sit back and hope it rains points, or for a tight, tactical low scoring affair with the unders. The exciting thing about this market, is you are often never out of it, particularly with taking the overs. The game could be done but a last-ditch Field Goal to seal it or a successful hail mary by the trailing team can be the difference, and often is, with the over or under hitting. Our experts put hours of research every week to preview the over unders markets and the Super Bowl over/under picks are no different. From experience handicapping, watching every game and a wealth of statistical analysis including team news, injuries, weather and more, our over/under Super Bowl picks are the best free picks on the market.

Money Line Super Bowl Picks

Any seasoned or long term sports better will tell you, that while a bet against the spread is exciting and the odds are better, it can be equally frustrating. An NFL team, in theory, is looking to win by 1, and in no game more so than the Super Bowl. Of course they’d love to win by more and take a 20 point lead into the fourth quarter, but sports often aren’t like that. With Moneyline wagering, you are simply picking a team to win, it’s that simple. If you wager the favorite on the Moneyline, you often won’t get great odds but it’s seen as a safer pick, betting the underdogs, however, can see you pick up great odds on the upset. The Super Bowl sees the two best teams on the year face off (usually) so the margins are often a lot finer. With this in mind you can often get pretty good odds for either team and don’t have to worry about covering the spread. Our Super Bowl picks on the Moneyline are well-researched and fully explained. Our expert handicappers rely on decades of experience as well as statistical analysis to provide you the best, free Moneyline Super Bowl Picks.

More Than Just Super Bowl Picks

Here at Pickswise we specialize in more than just Super Bowl Picks, and more than just NFL Picks. We also specialize in every major US sport including MLB Picks, NBA Picks and NHL PIcks on every game of their respective seasons. We also cover the top-25 and selected other games in both our College Football Picks and College Basketball Picks right through to the National Championship Game and March Madness itself. Check out our site every day for the best bets in all the top sporting contests and make sure to follow us on social media for all the latest news and betting offers too

Super Bowl Picks FAQs

The Super Bowl 55 MVP, or Most Valuable Player to give it its full name, is chosen by a panel of 16 football writers and broadcasters, with fans also able to vote electronically since Super Bowl XXXV in 2001. The media ballots count for 80% of the vote tally, with the viewers making up the remaining 20%.

New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has been named the Super Bowl’s most valuable player a record four times, most recently in 2017 at Super Bowl 51 when New England beat the Atlanta Falcons. Patrick Mahomes was the Super Bowl MVP in 2020 after leading the Chiefs to their first Super Bowl victory in 50 years. The winning quarterback is always the front runner for the award, having been the winner in seven of the last ten years, with Linebackers Malcolm Smith and Bobby Wagner, and Wide Receiver Julian Edelman the only exceptions in the last decade.

There is lots of football still to be played, but as we near the conclusion of the 2020-21 regular season, the reigning Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs are currently picked to win the Super Bowl. Sportsbooks have the Chiefs’ odds at +275 with the New Orleans Saints and Pittsburgh Steelers second at +600 to win the 2021 Super Bowl.

The Money Line for the Super Bowl is the sports betting term used for deciding the manner, in effect, who will be crowned Super Bowl Champion. It is the simplest form of sports gambling, if the team you wager on, on the Money Line wins so do you, but if they lose, unfortunately, you do too. Last year in Super Bowl 2020, the Money Line odds had the Kansas City Chiefs at -120 and San Francisco 49ers +105. This means if you wagered $120 on the Chiefs you’d have won $100, where a $100 wager on the 49ers would have seen $105 profit for their Money Line bettors if they had won.

The Point Spread on the Super Bowl is a betting market where sportsbooks set a points line to even out the chances of a team winning and losing. The favorite will have to concede points to cover the point spread, where the underdog will receive points, in earnest get a head start and must win or lose by less than the set point spread for your ticket to cash.

For example in Super Bowl 2020, the Kansas City Chiefs were -1.5 point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers, the Chiefs won 31-20, winning by more than -1.5 and covered the spread. If the game had finished 31-30 to the Chiefs, the 49ers at +1.5 would have covered the spread.

The Game Total on the Super Bowl is a total points line set by sportsbooks. Bettors can then wager for the total points scored in the Super Bowl to go over or under that set line.

For Super Bowl 2020, the game total was set by sportsbooks at 54 total points with odds of over or under this amount at -110 odds. The match ended up finishing 31-20 to the Chiefs so the Unders hit with only a total of 51 points scored. 

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