Pickswise is the home of the Super Bowl predictions and betting forecasts. Our experts spend hours researching the games, the statistics and all the data to give you their very best free betting picks for the Super Bowl LIV, which takes place on Sunday, February 2, 2020.

Check out our free betting predictions, match projections as well as the latest betting trends and team stats to help you find more winners.

Sunday 2/2
6:30 PM ET
49ers
San Francisco 49ers
13-3
12-4
Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Picks
KC Chiefs 
Money Line
-125
Under 54.0  Game Totals
-110
Reasoning

Against the Spread Pick

The Super Bowl is finally here as the Kansas City Chiefs square off against the San Francisco 49ers in Miami. Beyond all of the star players on the field, this matchup will also feature two of the brightest offensive minds in the game in head coaches Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reid. That's enough to get any football fan salivating. While both sides have had incredible seasons, one does have a clear advantage here, and that's the Chiefs. Kansas City's offense is simply so dynamic, that it doesn't matter if they start slow. They showed that in their first playoff game against Houston, when they got down by 24 points and it still never really felt like they were in real danger.

The 49ers have a great cornerback in Richard Sherman, but he is more of a zone corner then a press-man guy. That's unfortunate, because you aren't going to be able to hold the speed that Kansas City has on offense in check by playing zone. Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman, and Sammy Watkins should have a field day. Jimmy Garoppolo has been coasting on the strength of his defense, and that isn't going to work here. Kansas City is going to score, which means Garoppolo won't get away with throwing only eight passes like he did last week. When he has had to shoulder more of the load this season, he has often struggled. I think he gets exposed here, and Reid ends up picking up his first Super Bowl victory.

The 49ers have relied on their running game, but they aren't going to be able to keep that going here. After missing their first playoff game the Chiefs now have Chris Jones, one of the best defensive tackles in the league, back to clog up running lanes. The last time Garoppolo had to throw the ball a lot was back in Week 15, when the 49ers lost to the lowly Atlanta Falcons. This 49ers defense sagged a bit toward the end of the regular season, giving up at least 29 points in three of their last four games. Take Kansas City.

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Over Under Pick

The under also makes some sense here. Kansas City will be able to score, but a total in the mid-50s is still a bit too high. The 49ers have been running the ball an absurd amount so far in the playoffs, as Garoppolo has only attempted 27 passes through their first two games. I don't expect Shanahan to switch that strategy up too much and suddenly put a lot more on Garoppolo's plate here against an underrated Kansas City secondary that has been playing really well recently. Kansas City held the previously unstoppable Derrick Henry to just 3.6 yards per carry this past week, showing that their run defense is more than capable of stepping up as well.

That means the 49ers won't just be able to rip off huge chunk gains on the ground like they did with Raheem Mostert against Green Bay. San Francisco's own defense has been dominant, holding the Vikings to only 10 points in their first playoff game before completely shutting down Aaron Rodgers prior to garbage time in the divisional round. We should see a defensive struggle here.

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Questions & Answers

NFL predictions for the 2020 Super Bowl from Pickswise are the Chiefs win on the money line and cover the -1.5 point spread and the game stays under the total of 54.

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Conference Championship game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 19, 2020 and 3.05pm ET (eastern time). The San Francisco 49ers host the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Conference Championship game at Levi’s Stadium on January 19, 2020 at 6.40pm ET. The winner of those two games will meet in Super Bowl 54.

Kansas City Chiefs are predicted to win Super Bowl LIV. They beat the Houston Texans 51-31 in the divisional round of the playoffs on January 12, 2020, and have won their last seven games.

Kansas City Chiefs are the favourites to win Super Bowl 54 at -120 odds. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes had five touchdown passes in their divisional round win against the Houston Texans, and is the favourite to be Super Bowl LIV MVP.

The predicted final score for the Super Bowl from Sportsbooks is a 28-26 victory for the Kansas City Chiefs.

If there is a tie in Super Bowl 54, the game goes to overtime. Ten minutes are on the clock, and if it is still a tie then there is another ten minutes added. Possession of the ball is determined by a coin toss, and if a team scores a touchdown on their first possession they win the game. If they score a field goal, the opposing team has to score one to keep the game alive. If they do not, the game is over. Each team gets two timeouts