Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/26/26

This total is being shaded down because it’s the second leg of a doubleheader, but that’s exactly where the value lies. The market expects a quieter game due to potential lineup rotation and fatigue, yet the pitching context suggests the opposite. The Colorado Rockies don’t even have a confirmed starter at the time of writing, which strongly points toward a bullpen game. That’s a major red flag when dealing with a relief unit that has consistently struggled to suppress runs or limit baserunners.

On the other side, the New York Mets hand the ball to Kodai Senga, and his early-season profile has been anything but stable. An 0-3 record paired with an 8.83 ERA tells you everything: he’s been hittable, allowing traffic, and unable to put together clean innings. When Senga is off, he tends to unravel quickly, which is exactly what you want when targeting an Over. The key here is optionality. Colorado can score against a struggling Senga, while New York should generate plenty of opportunities against a bullpen-heavy approach. Doubleheaders don’t categorically eliminate offense, often they can redistribute it. With uncertain pitching on one side and volatility on the other, there are simply too many ways for runs to come through. The Over is a huge value play.

Rockies vs Mets prediction: Over 7.5 Runs (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to the Over 8 Runs.