Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/12/26

In a matchup between a pair of teams off to disappointing starts, the Tigers visit the Mets for a Tuesday night showdown at Citi Field. The Tigers enter this matchup with a record of 19-22 and have dropped 5 of their last 6 games. On the other side, the Mets have the fewest wins in all of baseball with a record of 15-25 and have lost 3 of their last 4. Neither team is all that reliable, but the advantage in this matchup goes to the home team. New York’s Freddy Peralta hasn’t been elite, but he’s been fairly reliable. The 29-year-old right-hander has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 7 straight starts, and while he hasn’t received much run support, that could change in this one.

The Tigers will hand the ball to Jack Flaherty, and they are just 2-6 in his 8 starts this season. Furthermore, the Detroit pitching staff as a whole is dealing with a plethora of injuries. The bullpen is severely depleted and Flaherty has been wildly inconsistent so far this season. Opponents own a strong .796 OPS against him, and he owns a less-than-ideal 5.56 ERA through 34.0 innings of work. Given his inconsistency and the many unknowns with Detroit’s bullpen, it’s tough to back the Tigers in this one. Plus, Detroit is a measly 7-16 on the road this season. Back the Mets on the moneyline.

Tigers vs Mets prediction: Mets ML (-140) available at time of publishing. Playable to -145.