Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/28/26

The Miami Marlins put up a good fight in the series opener despite a pitching disparity on Monday, falling 5-4 against RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The Marlins have dropped 3 straight games after winning 9-4 in the first game of a road trip in San Francisco on Friday. The Over has cashed in 4 straight games as well, with the Marlins allowing 5.3 runs per game on the road trip so far. However, we won’t be taking the Over against RHP Shohei Ohtani, who has managed a minuscule 0.38 ERA with just two runs — one earned – across 24 IP with 12 hits and 6 walks allowed with 25 strikeouts.

The Dodgers picked up the 5-4 victory on Monday, its third consecutive game. The offense is rolling after a little bit of a speed bump in San Francisco last week. Los Angeles is averaging 6.8 runs per game in the past 4 games, and the pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in 3 of the past 4 outings. However, with Ohtani on the hill, again, while the Over is tempting, it isn’t attractive. The Under is 3-1 in four starts with Ohtani on the bump, so avoid. We’ll focus on the Dodgers on the run line. In seven wins in the past 12 games since April 15, L.A. has won 6 times by 2 or more runs, so let’s lay the run and a half.

Marlins vs Dodgers prediction: Dodgers -1.5 (-130) at time of publishing. Playable to -150.

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