Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/23/26

I favor the Minnesota Twins over the New York Mets in their matchup Thursday evening. The teams have split the first 2 games of this series, but I favor Joe Ryan and his matchup in Game 3. Ryan enters this game in terrific form, and in his past matchups with active Mets batters he has found tremendous success. Active Mets have 69 combined plate appearances against Ryan with just a .398 OPS and 32 strikeouts to show for it. He enters this start with a 3.2 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. That ERA drops to a 2.66 xERA and a 2.45 FIP, and he is fresh off of back-to-back quality starts against the Blue Jays and Reds.

Christian Scott is set to make his season debut in this game for the Mets. Scott made 9 starts with the Mets last season, totaling 47.1 innings of work in that stretch. His 4.56 ERA was shadowed by a 4.22 xERA and 4.60 FIP. Scott didn’t generate overwhelming strikeout numbers in his first MLB stint despite that being a large part of his minor league profile. So far this season in AAA Scott tossed 13.2 innings across 3 starts, allowing a 5.27 ERA and 4.65 FIP. While he is clearly a talented prospect, I am not going to back him at current pricing against Joe Ryan.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Predictions: Twins ML (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to -125 odds.