New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/11/26

The New York Yankees suffered a series sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers. Now sitting second in the AL East, they will look to reset against the division rivals Baltimore Orioles. Manager Aaron Boone isn’t worried his team going 1-8 against teams above .500 this season, and luckily for the Yankees, the Orioles are 5 games below .500. The Yankees have already swept the Orioles once this year, and as they look to keep their winning ways going against teams below .500, they will send lefty Ryan Weathers to the mound. He is 2-2 with a 3.03 ERA. The Orioles will counter with Brandon Young, who is 3-1 with a 4.35 ERA. 

While the Yankees have now lost 4 of their last 5 games, this month has not been a great one for the Orioles — as they have lost 7 of their last 10 matchups. Offensively, the Orioles are batting .218 and averaging 3.6 runs per game compared to the Yankees, who are hitting .270 and averaging 6.2 runs per game in their last 10. As far as pitching goes, the Orioles hold a 6.51 ERA in that same span while the Yankees boast a 3.22 mark. While the Yankees may have been swept by the Brewers, their starting pitching has been great — it was their bullpen that let them down late in the game. Still, the Yankees feature the second-best bullpen ERA in all of the majors, sitting at a 3.25 ERA compared to the Orioles’ 4.39 ERA. At the end of the day, I trust Weathers and this Yankees offense more than I do the Orioles — which is why I’m backing New York as my best bet of the day. 

Yankees vs Orioles prediction: Yankees ML (-170) available at time of publishing. Playable up to – 180.

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