New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/12/26

The New York Yankees have suddenly dropped four straight games and now sit two games back in the AL East standings, making this a much-needed bounce-back spot against the Baltimore Orioles. New York will turn to Will Warren, who has been one of their most reliable starters this season, entering at 4-1, with a 3.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 53 strikeouts across 41.2 innings pitched. For Baltimore, they’ll hand the ball over to the lefty Trevor Rogers who is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, striking out 27 in 30.1 innings pitched. 

The Yankees bullpen has been reliable for most of the season, but lately, it’s been a different story. The Yankees offense has also cooled off recently, averaging 3.6 runs per game, batting .209 in their last seven games. For the Orioles, they’ve been slightly better, averaging 4.1 runs per game and hitting .214. The Yankees have the advantage on the mound in this matchup with Warren, and the last time he faced the Orioles back on May 1st, he allowed just one earned run and struck out nine in 6.1 innings pitched. Rogers has struggled on the mound this season, and even though the Yankees offense has cooled off over the last week, this is a great spot for them to get back on track. Look for New York to get to Rogers early on, and for Warren to eat up enough innings to limit the time on the mound for the Yankees bullpen. 

Yankees vs Orioles prediction: Yankees ML (-165) available at time of publishing. Playable to (-180).

Skip the waitlist and sign up for Polymarket RIGHT NOW to get instant access and a $20 trading bonus! You can join Polymarket by clicking here and trade on our Yankees vs Orioles predictions.