Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/31/26

The Dodgers were well on their way to their 7th straight win on Saturday, but the Phillies had different ideas, scoring 3 of their 4 runs in the top of the 8th thanks to Edmundo Sosa’s 2-run jack. The win marked the 4th in Philadelphia’s last 5. 

Sunday’s game is a rubber match that pits Philadelphia’s RHP Andrew Painter against Los Angeles’ RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Painter has struggled mightily this year, sitting 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. His advanced numbers suggest he’s been a bit unlucky and should regress back to the mean, but doing so against the defending champions is a tall order. For reference, the Dodgers lead the league in home runs against righties, while sitting 2nd in batting average and 1st in on-base percentage. 

Yamamoto comes into this contest 4-4 with a 3.09 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, but his home starts have left more to be desired than his road starts for some reason. He is 1-2 at home with a 3.77 ERA, surrendering 13 earned runs and 7 home runs in 31 innings. That said, he was meticulous over his last 2 starts, allowing just 2 earned runs combined in 14 innings against the Brewers and Padres. Fortunately for him, the Phillies are awful against right-handed pitchers, as they carry the 2nd-worst on-base percentage in the league and are bottom-6 in batting average against them. 

Given the pitching matchup, it’s hard to trust the Phillies in this spot – especially since they’ve been out west for a week. Look for Yamamoto and the Dodgers bullpen to have more success suppressing runs than the Phillies on Sunday.

Phillies vs Dodgers prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -115. 

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