- Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions
Pickswise's Expert Predictions & Analysis
Run Line Prediction
Milwaukee has taken the first two games of their weekend set against the Pirates, rallying from an early 4-0 deficit on Saturday afternoon en route to a 7-4 victory. Milwaukee starter Corbin Burnes struggled in the first two innings but finally received some run support from Milwaukee’s offense. Burnes lasted only four innings allowing four runs on eight hits but was backed up by a Brewer bullpen that worked the final five frames allowing zero runs on just two hits. On Sunday afternoon, Milwaukee looks for the sweep as Adrian Houser (4-5, 3.66 ERA, 3.83 xFIP) gets the ball for the Brewers opposite Wil Crowe (0-4, 7.26 ERA, 5.16 xFIP) for Pittsburgh.
Houser and the Brewers are the recommended side to secure the multi-run victory due to their stability on the mound and in the bullpen. Houser enters Sunday’s start in much better form than Crowe as he’s coming off a start against Cincinnati on June 8 where he allowed just one run in 5.1 innings of work. Crowe hasn’t pitched since June 1 and is coming off a rocky start in his last outing against Kansas City, where he surrendered eight runs on eight hits in four innings of work. Against a Milwaukee offense that has started to hit their stride of late, expect the Brewers to knock Crowe around for a few runs during his projected four to five-inning start. Houser is capable of keeping the Pirates in check, putting a stable Milwaukee bullpen in a solid position to secure the multi-run win.
Game Totals Prediction
With a current total of nine runs, the over is the recommendation in this matchup. Milwaukee’s offense is capable of scoring six-plus runs themselves against Crowe and a lackluster Pittsburgh bullpen. Crowe has had trouble with his command as he sports a sub-par 28:17 K: BB rate in 31 innings of work. Pittsburgh’s offense can also score their fair share as current Pirate’s hitters have had their way against Houser, sporting a .316 batting average and only striking out 14.1 percent of the time over 64 plate appearances. Milwaukee also utilized lockdown closer Josh Hader (0.70 ERA) in back-to-back games, as it’s unlikely the Brewers would go to him on Sunday. Back the over, but keep it small.
Over 9.0 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.