Best MLB player prop for Sunday's slate: Keller to cage Blue Jays

Brad Keller MLB player props
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John Hyslop

MLB· 1 month ago

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You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

It’s Sunday and we need some action today. That’s just a fact. Typically on a Sunday I like to grab a MLB player prop for one of the early games, then add a little action as the day goes on if something pops up. That’s if I even need it. Sometimes you find a bet that is so good it can just carry you through the entire day. That’s what I think may have happened today. The books are disrespecting one of the greatest pitcher strikeout prop guys in the game today. The best part is, he’s playing at 1:07pm ET. We won’t have to wait long for this one.

On top of this article, you should definitely check out our experts’ picks on all of the MLB action today. It’s just a smart thing to do. Also, bets can be added to the card just like the Bailey Ober +125 win yesterday, so why not follow me on Twitter in case we get some last-second action?

Brad Keller over 3.5 strikeouts (-120)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

We all know I can’t quit Brad Keller. He’s my guy. He usually pulls a very fair number in the MLB player prop market and he did that today at DraftKings. I literally couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw 3.5 -120. Usually he’s a 4.5 plus money guy or a 3.5 -150+ guy. This just feels too good to be true so I didn’t even wait for FanDuel or BetMGM.

The thing about Keller is he’s priced like a bum but he really isn’t one. He’s not a double digit strikeout guy but in his last 15 starts he’s gone over 3.5 Ks in 13 of them. He’s thrown 90+ pitches in all 15 starts but one and has even gone 7+ innings in 2 of his last 3 games. We need guys to be physically on the mound to strike people out. Keller is usually out there for awhile on his day to work.

The only real issue is the Royals play the Toronto Blue Jays today and they don’t strike out much. In fact, only one team (Houston Astros) has struck out less than they have this season. Still, that’s a reason to not take an opposing pitcher total at 5.5 or higher. Toronto still strikes out as Mike Minor just whiffed 6 of them yesterday. I think Keller can get home on this low number today.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

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