Best player prop for Friday's MLB slate: Fried can fan Phillies

Max Fried MLB player prop
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John Hyslop

MLB· 3 months ago

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You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

I woke up today just wanting to gamble. Specifically a MLB player prop. Pitcher strikeout props are going to be what carries me through NFL pre-season (yes I bet the pre-season) and honestly, it’s not a bad life. If you haven’t tried it, I highly recommend it. Last night’s Anthony DeSclafani +120 bet was a shot of life that people pay good money for. Nobody can argue that. When you hit something like that, you just want more. It’s science. Luckily for us, I found another one for tonight that I’m backing. The game starts at 7:05pm ET so we can be in and out of this slate if we want. Let’s have ourselves a Friday.

On top of this article, you should definitely check out our experts’ picks on all of the MLB action today. Also, bets can be added to the card (especially on a Friday), so why not follow me on Twitter in case we get some last-second action? It just makes sense.

Max Fried over 5.5 strikeouts (-116)

Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing

First off, I don’t love this price but what can we do? Not bet? God no. It’s a MLB player prop so we have to shop around. BetMGM has this same 5.5 number at -130 so I opted for FanDuel. At -116 it’s not great but it’s not -130 either. I can live with -116.

Max Fried is an absolute beast. I’m a fan. He’s 6’4″ 190 pounds and he’s whipping the ball in there at almost 94 mph. Over his last five starts he’s struck out at least five batters in each game while getting at least six one three of those starts. Fried has gone at least five innings in each of those games so we’re good there too. His form is exactly where we need it to be at the moment.

In the two games out of the last five where he didn’t reach the six whiff mark, Fried failed to strike out the opposing pitcher. That shouldn’t happen tonight. He will see Zack Wheeler and while Wheeler can pitch, he can’t hit.

Wheeler has struck out 22 times in 42 plate appearances this season. He goes deep enough into games that he may even get to the plate twice while Fried is still in the game. If that happens, Fried should end up in the 6-8 strikeout range tonight. We should definitely bet this.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

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