Best player prop for Wednesday's MLB slate: Mills to fan Phillies

Alec Mills MLB player props
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John Hyslop

MLB

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You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

One look at the MLB player prop board today is all it took for me to tighten up. Over at DraftKings, it’s -160 or more after -160 or more. We want some action but my god. -160 in this economy? No thanks. They did get caught slipping on one guy though. The issue is, it’s a night game and there are day games today. It hurts my feelings to not have action during the day when the teams are taking the time to play a game that we can bet on, but we have to do what we have to do. If you need something to get you by, why not take a look at the soccer game at 3pm ET between England and Denmark? We’ve got other options people. That’s how gambling works.

On top of this article, you should definitely check out our experts’ picks on all of the MLB action today As always, bets can be added to the card, so why not follow me on Twitter in case we get some last-second action? It just makes sense.

Be sure to check out our MLB three-team mega parlay (+1268 odds!)

Alec Mills over 3.5 strikeouts (+110)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing

I’m a little higher on Mills than DraftKings is at the moment but I think I am right. Anytime a book throws a 3.5 number for plus money at you it’s probably best to look into the matter. That’s a pretty disrespectful act.

Mills hasn’t been a starter for very long but he looks like he has the hang of it. In five starts this season, he has only struck out four or more batters in two of those starts. That’s the bad news. But here’s the thing, in one start, the Cubs only let him throw 41 pitches. In another one he only got 57 tosses yet he was still able to sit six guys down. This kid has potential.

Fast forward to his last start against the Reds and you’ll see we are looking at a guy that was allowed to throw 92 pitches. As a result, he’s stretched out. Even better, Mills faced 21 batters that night and struck out nine. That’s what I’m talking about!

Want more good news? In that nine-K game, he didn’t strike out the other team’s pitcher. He was mowing down real, actual hitters. Tonight he’s got the Phillies who are starting Zach Wheeler. While Wheeler is a good pitcher, he hits like Willie Mays Hayes. He’s faced a righty in 27 at-bats this season and has struck out 14 times.

Mills will likely see Wheeler twice tonight since Wheeler goes deep into games. If he does, that’s a free strikeout right there. Maybe even two. If you are familiar with math, you’ll know that Mills would only need to find three other victims in the Phillies lineup to put some cash in our pockets. This is my favorite MLB player prop of the night.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

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