Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
NFL
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Can you think of a better pairing than the Super Bowl and Anytime Touchdown Scorers? It goes together like domestic beer and buffalo wings. Luckily, we will have both in abundance on Super Bowl Sunday and I have a few touchdown scorers I’m very high on as part of my Super Bowl Prop Bets.
The total is currently set at 49.5, implying 7 total touchdowns. The Eagles have the better skill-position players of both teams and represent slightly more value. The Chiefs have more “uncertainty” outside of Travis Kelce, so it will be more interesting to target longshots on Kansas City. Out of sheer principle, I will not give out Kelce. You do not need me to tell you it’s a wise bet at -110 on a player with 15 TDs in 17 postseason games. I’d rather focus on plus-odds scorers for this article.
Let’s look at my favorite TD scorers for the big game!
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Favorites
Dallas Goedert (+190)
Line available on FanDuel at the time of publishing.
The Chiefs rank 30th in opponent red-zone scoring percentage and have given up 9 TDs to opposing TEs this season (tied for the 5th most). Goedert scored in the divisional round against the Giants and became an afterthought in the blowout vs SF. The Eagles’ TE only has one career game vs Kansas City (2021) and in that game he finished with 56 yards and a TD. This is one of my favorite Super Bowl Picks.
Isiah Pacheco (+140)
Line available at BetMGM at the time of publishing.
The Eagles have given up 14 TDs on the ground to opposing RBs this season and 2 in the last 2 games. Pacheco has not scored in the postseason but is taking 43.5% of the teams rush attempts inside the 10-yard line despite playing in only 11 regular-season games.
Longshots
Quez Watkins (+750)
Line available on DraftKings at the time of publishing.
These odds are absurd for who Quez Watkins is to this offense. Watkins has played more than 50% of the snaps in 15 of 17 games. He is the de facto big-threat wide receiver of the Eagles’ offense and has 3 TDs on the season. I would have expected him in the +350 to +400 range, but at this price we have to like it. The Eagles will look to make a splash play early to set the tone and put the Chiefs on their heels. The matchups over the last 2 weeks are likely driving this number so high. Watkins only played 22% of the snaps in the divisional round, with the better blocking WR, Zach Pascal, getting the nod against a weak rush defense. Against the 49ers, the Eagles were never in need of airing out the ball and Hurts didn’t throw a pass after 4:10 of the 3rd quarter. The Chiefs will represent a higher-octane passing attack than the Eagles have seen since Dallas in Week 16.
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Justin Watson (+700)
Line available on BetRivers at the time of publishing.
It’s difficult to find longshots in the Super Bowl of all places, but we managed to find it. There are only 3 healthy wide receivers on the Chiefs at the moment (Marquez Valdes-Scanting, Justin Watson and Skyy Moore) and Watson is the most intriguing. He played 56% of the snaps vs Jacksonville and was inactive vs Cincinnati. Watson has 2 TDs on the year and managed to do it in games in which he played less than 20% of the snaps. Mecole Hardman re-aggravated his hip injury in the AFC Championship and Kadarius Toney is nursing ankle and hamstring issues. Watson could see work in the red zone and is worth the flyer with so much uncertainty at the position for Kansas City.
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