BetsByBob's best Tuesday MLB bets: Check out these two first 5 inning plays

Sonny Gray Reds vs Brewers

Monday was a day of no harm, no foul, as I went 1-1 to break even. However, my Pickswise Newsletter play did win, and since breaking that 8-game streak, we have started a new one. We approach the last day of August, which means September roster expansions are right around the corner. For the rest of the season, the contenders are grinding out playoff positions, while those out of it are testing out new players that get their first looks in the big leagues. There will be some hefty favorites moving forward, and baseball will be harder to bet and find edges that aren’t north of -200. I took a different approach here today, so let’s see how it pans out.

St. Louis Cardinals (Miles Mikolas) at Cincinnati Reds (Sonny Gray)

Play: Reds F5 -0.5 (-112)

*Playable to: Reds F5 -0.5  (-120)

The St. Louis Cardinals and division rival Cincinnati Reds battle it out again here on Tuesday. The Cardinals were able to take the first game, and it was a low-scoring affair that they won 3-1. Jon Lester threw a 1-hitter, and I for one didn’t see that coming. I am counting on the Reds bats waking up, as they are very much alive in this postseason race.

Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals, who is recently back from injury to help out a depleted Cardinal pitching staff. He has tossed only 13.1 innings so far, so the numbers lack a decent sample size, but some is better than nothing. Since being back, he has an ERA of 2.70, a FIP of 3.84, and a WHIP of 1.275.  His numbers also look nice due to the fact that his 3 outings so far this season have been against the Cubs and Pirates. Mikolas has never been a big strikeout guy, and he faces a much more talented Reds lineup here today that can do damage putting the ball in play.

Sonny Gray will be taking the ball for the home Reds, and is turning in another fine season in his career. He comes into this one with an ERA of 3.91, and a FIP of 3.63. Gray should be due for some better fortune, as he carries a BABIP of .312, while doing an excellent job limiting hard contact to a rate of 31.1%. He carries a strikeout rate of 27.9%, and gets a ground ball essentially half of the time. He has the profile of a pitcher I like to back, and am going to do so in the first five innings to take the bullpen out of the equation.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Philadelphia Phillies (Matt Moore) at Washington Nationals (Patrick Corbin)

Play: Nationals F5 -0.5 (+102)

*Playable to: Nationals F5 -0.5 (-110)

Juan Soto Nationals

© Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies have playoff aspirations while the Nationals are just trying to play spoiler to their division rival. Bryce Harper is back facing his old team, and the home Washington crowd always seems to get into it more when he is back in town. The Phillies have won 4 straight, and need to keep doing so to catch the Braves, who are 3.5 games ahead of them in the division. They might run into some trouble, as Matt Moore is throwing for them, and he is not good.

Let’s start off with some of Moore’s numbers. He has an ERA of 3.12, a FIP of 5.70, and a WHIP of 1.546. He walks more than 10% of the batters that he faces, and gives up a home run 4.8% of the time. It’s hard to believe he is still starting baseball games, let alone on a team fighting to be in the playoffs. To make matters worse, this current Nationals lineup has found great success against Moore, collectively accumulating a wOBA of .471 against him. The Nationals should score here against Moore, and give them a serious edge here to start the game.

Patrick Corbin will be going for the Nationals,  and while his numbers also aren’t pretty, I still trust him much more than I do Matt Moore. Corbin has an ERA of 6.09 and a FIP of 5.52. He however currently has an BABIP of .295 while doing a decent job limiting the hard contact he has given up so far this year. Corbin is able to get plenty of ground balls, and has found good success against the Phillies over the years. In more than 200 plate appearances, this Phillies lineup has managed to gather a wOBA of only .314 against him. Like the Reds, taking the Nationals bullpen out of this one, and will be playing the first 5 here.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Pickswise is the home of free MLB Picks and Predictions. Check out the latest MLB Prop Bets and MLB Parlays as well as our MLB Best Bets from the experts.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
DraftKings

$200

Bet $1 On Any NFL Football Game & Get $150 In Free Bets Instantly!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $1 on any Pro Football game

Instantly get $150 in free bets

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet + a free NFL Jersey!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $5,000 + a free NFL Jersey

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.