March Madness Sweet 16 Day One By The Numbers: The under bounces back

Baylor Bears guard Jared Butler (left) takes an inbound against the Villanova Wildcats in the second half during the Sweet 16 of the 2021 NCAA Tournament at Hinkle Fieldhouse
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Well, the first day of the Sweet 16 is in the books, and it sure didn’t disappoint. We saw a 15 seed nearly advance to the Elite Eight, and plenty of highlight-reel plays. Right now we thought we’d digest some of the data relevant to betting from Monday to help inform your wagers moving forward. Without further ado let’s dive in, but don’t forget to check out our picks on the side and total for every game first.

Favorites went 2-2 ATS

Favorites came back with a vengeance on the last day of the Round of 32, going an incredible 7-1 against the spread. That came right after underdogs went 6-2 ATS on Sunday and dominated the first few days. Through five days of March Madness action, underdogs are now 27-24 against the spread.

Unders went 4-0

The under came back triumphantly, going a perfect 4-0 on Saturday. The under dominated the first couple days during the Round of 64, but things trended a bit higher-scoring in the Round of 32. After Saturday’s sweep, the under is now 30-21 for the tournament. That’s a cash rate of nearly 59 percent. Perhaps as the stakes get higher with fewer teams left, defense is getting taken up a notch? Could that mean we’ll see more unders again on Sunday?

The PAC 12 is 10-1 ATS

Another day, another PAC 12 cover. This time it was Oregon State getting to the window, winning outright over Loyola Chicago as a seven-point dog. The only PAC 12 team not to cover was Colorado in their Round of 32 loss to Florida State. Could that bode well for UCLA tomorrow in their game against Alabama?

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