Filip Tomic
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The shorthanded LA Clippers are in Portland tonight to take on the Trail Blazers as part of TNT’s double-header. Tipoff is live at 10:00 pm ET, right after the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks game.
I have come up with a Same Game Parlay, which is available below. Don’t forget to check our NBA Picks page for predictions on the side and total for tonight’s 3-game slate.
Let’s get into it.
LA Clippers 1-10 win margin (+220)
Under 215.5 points (-112)
Jerami Grant over 21.5 points (-113)
Same Game Parlay odds: +1421
LA Clippers 1-10 win margin over Portland Trail Blazers (+220)
Both teams are heavily shorthanded here with the Clippers missing Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and Luke Kennard, while Portland is still without its best player in Damian Lillard. LA is handling its situation much better; it owns 3 wins in its last 5 outings. Portland, on the other hand, is on a 1-4 SU run in its last 5 games. The Clippers have had the upper hand over the past few season in head-to-head meetings, winning 9 of the last 10 — while also covering the spread in 8 of those. At Moda Center they are 4-1 SU in the last 5, so the Blazers really have a mountain to climb in this one. They have been pretty bad without Lillard, the offense has become stagnant and everything depends on 1 guy on that end of the floor for them. I’m taking the Clippers to win a close game.
Under 215.5 points (-112)
This could be one of the lowest-scoring games of the season, simply because of the way both teams are playing right now. There is very little ball movement on offense for both sides; Portland ranks only 22nd in assists per game averaging 23.7, while the Clippers are even worse at 22.9 which ranks them 26th. The Blazers play the 3rd-slowest pace in the league, averaging 98.8 possessions a night; the Clippers are slightly faster at 100.7 per game, which is 20th overall.
The 1 thing that separates the 2 teams is their efficiency on defense. The Clippers are 2nd only to the Milwaukee Bucks with a 105.7 defensive efficiency, while Portland is all the way down in 18th. Add all these stats to the fact that they have a combined 60+ points worth of players out with injuries right now, I would be impressed if both of them combined to go over the 200-point mark tonight.
Tuesday’s NBA mega parlay is available at +670 odds!
Jerami Grant Over 21.5 points (-113)
With Dame going down, Portland has become all too dependent on Jerami Grant offensively. He has scored over 20 points in 3 straight, for the month of November his average is at 24.2 per game on almost 48% shooting from the field and an impressive 50.6% from downtown. He’s knocked down 5 threes in 2 of his last 3 outings, which is a good sign going up against a top defense like the Clippers. Just 2 games ago he dropped a cool 44 at Madison Square Garden to beat the Knicks, and the Blazers will need a big night for him here if they want to be competitive. Anfernee Simons isn’t as reliable, while Jusuf Nurkic will have the tough task of going up against Ivica Zubac — who just had a monster night with 29 rebounds. I’m expecting a big scoring night from Grant.
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