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Our NFL expert's best player prop bets for Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs: Texans lean on Joe Mixon

Our NFL expert's best player prop bets for Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs: Texans lean on Joe Mixon

JutPicks
JutPicksAuthor
UpdatedAug 21, 2026
Reading time1 min

The 13-1 Kansas City Chiefs could use a bye week more than you’d think. They’ve escaped countless 1-score games and now are dealing with a Patrick Mahomes injury ahead of Saturday’s contest against the AFC South leading Houston Texans. Let’s get into my best Texans vs Chiefs player prop bet for Saturday, while you can also check out our NFL picks for EVERY Week 16 matchup.

Joe Mixon (HOU) over 59.5 rushing yards (-110)

Odds available at Bet365 Sportsbook at time of publishing.

After being limited all week ahead of Saturday’s game, Joe Mixon has no injury tag and is ready to go in Arrowhead. Mixon is coming off his lowest usage since Week 2, with just 12 carries on 23 yards last week to the Miami Dolphins. Ironically enough, after every subpar game this season, Mixon has answered the call. In the 3 games this season that Mixon has rushed for fewer than 50 yards, he’s rushed for 100+ in all 3 games the week after. On the road is where Mixon has been elite. He’s totaled 100+ yards on the ground in all 6 games. Meanwhile, quarterback C.J. Stroud has struggled away from home this season. His passer rating drops to 83.8 while throwing 4 interceptions to just 7 touchdowns. In a hostile environment against a superior team, I’d expect the Texans to lean on Mixon to slow the game down.

Lock in our Texans vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay picks for Saturday at HUGE +1300 odds

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