ThriveFantasy NFL player props - Best Picks & Plays for the NFL Divisional Round: Travis Kelce crushes Jaguars

Super Wild Card Weekend has come and gone, and now we are onto the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. If you used the player props mentioned here last week, your lineups were off to a great start, and we are going to hope to replicate that in the Divisional Round! We are going to look to some fantasy superstars for some massive days, notably from Kansas City’s Travis Kelce and Cincinnati’s Ja’Marr Chase against the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills respectively. If you are looking for some NFL Picks for the Divisional Round and you are playing over at ThriveFantasy, you have most certainly come to the right place. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy, but be sure to check out our NFL Best Bets and our NFL Prop Bets pages before locking in any NFL player props.

ThriveFantasy NFL Player Props Divisional Round

Travis Kelce over 76.5 receiving yards

Jacksonville should put all of their eggs in the “stop Kelce at all costs” basket, but can they do that? They rank 32nd in DVOA against the tight end position, and back in Week 10 when these teams played, Kelce went for 81 yards and a touchdown on seven targets. Over Jacksonville’s last couple of games, take a look at the production from opposing tight ends:

  • Wild Card Round vs LAC: 6-109-1 for Gerald Everett
  • Week 18 vs. TEN: 3-42-1 for Chig Okonkwo
  • Week 17 @ HOU: 4-80-0 for Jordan Akins, O.J. Howard, and Brevin Jordan
  • Week 16 @ NYJ: 5-64-0 for Tyler Conklin and C.J. Uzomah

Over the last two seasons, Kelce has appeared in six playoff games, and he has at least 95 yards in each contest. He’s Mahomes’ top guy when it matters most, and he’s going to get his in this matchup.

Be sure to check out our full Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs predictions

Jalen Hurts over 264.5 passing + rushing yards

Despite missing two weeks at the end of the season, Hurts returned and totaled 242 passing and rushing yards. He ran nine times in this game, and this offense is all on Hurts’ back. He has seven games with 50+ rushing yards this season and just four games with fewer than 200 passing yards. In his two games against the Giants this season, he’s put up 294 and 242 total yards, and we just saw Cousins put up 273 passing yards against them.

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Graham Gano under 8.5 points

Brian Daboll and Mike Kafka know that it will take touchdowns to win this game, not field goals. This isn’t the time for the Giants to get conservative, and I don’t expect them to do so. Sure, Gano will get an opportunity or two, but he’ll need field goals to get to the over here, and again, Daboll knows that they need touchdowns. If the Giants get to the red zone, and the first down line is one or two yards away, Daboll is going for it, and Gano will stay on the sidelines. I expect the Philadelphia offense to be firing on all cylinders, and Daniel Jones will have to keep up with touchdowns, not field goals. In the two games against the Eagles this year, albeit one without Daniel Jones, Gano put up a total of six points.

Be sure to check out our full New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles predictions

Ja’Marr Chase over 84.5 receiving yards

Chase went for 84 yards last week against the Ravens and he is a star in the postseason. He has at least 84 yards in all but one career postseason game, and now gets to face a Buffalo squad that ranked 29th in DVOA against the WR1. This game has the makings of a shootout, and both teams are going to want to air it out. I like Chase to go for 100+, but we only need 85 yards here for 100 points.

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Ezekiel Elliott under 50.5 rushing yards

Zeke hasn’t topped this mark since Week 16 against the Eagles, and now he has to face a San Francisco team that ranked second in DVOA against the run! Elliott has had some tough matchups in recent weeks, and hasn’t done much with opportunities given, whereas Tony Pollard has looked better. San Francisco has not been friendly to opponents on the ground, and I don’t expect Zeke to be the one that breaks the mold.

Be sure to check out our full Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers predictions

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