UFC 273 predictions: Three-fight parlay (+270 odds)

Mickey Gall reacts after beating Sage Northcutt by submission during the second round of a UFC Fight Night mixed martial arts fight in Sacramento, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 17, 2016.
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 1 month ago

Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

UFC 273 takes place on Saturday at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. This card will feature two title fights — one in the featherweight division and one in the bantamweight division.

Here is our favorite 3-fight parlay for UFC 273 that has odds of +270. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 273 predictions for the full 13-fight card.

Khamzat Chimaev win by finish over Gilbert Burns (-190)

Khamzat Chimaev comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-0. He is 4-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Li Jingliang by submission back in October of 2021. Chimaev is averaging 8.68 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 77%. He is absorbing 0.08 strikes and has a striking defense of 75%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 4.65 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 5.8 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 66% and has not had to defend a takedown in the UFC.

Chimaev is the clear favorite, so backing his money line is likely unwise here. He continues to dominate his UFC opponents, winning all 4 fights by finish and now has a total of 10 wins by finish in his career. Gilbert Burns will almost certainly be overmatched here, so backing Chimaev to win by finish will be the play.

Ian Garry vs Darian Weeks: Fight to go the Distance – No (-190)

Ian Garry comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-0. Garry is averaging 3.61 significant strikes per minute and he has a striking accuracy of 64%. He is absorbing 4.41 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. He has not shown much grappling ability yet, but does defend takedowns 100% of the time.

Darian Weeks comes into this fight with an MMA record of 5-1. Weeks is averaging 7.87 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. He is absorbing 7.20 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 4.00 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 50% and he has not had to defend a takedown yet in the UFC.

Both guys have a very high finish rate with Weeks having won all 5 of his fights by finish and Garry having won 6 of his 8 career fights by finish. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.

Mike Malott ML over Mickey Gall (-170)

Mike Malott comes into this fight with an MMA record of 7-1-1. Malott is averaging 4.41 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 35%. He is absorbing 4.35 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling has also been good so far, averaging 1.92 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Malott’s takedown accuracy is 33% and he has not been able to defend a takedown so far.

Malott is looking promising so far, whereas Mickey Gall is very inconsistent. Gall has lost 4 of his last 8 UFC fights, so backing Malott looks to be worth a play.

Pickswise is the home of free UFC Predictions and UFC Picks. Our expert UFC handicappers bring you the best bets from the top UFC and UFC Fight Night cards.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If ANY NBA Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NBA game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game makes a 3-pointer

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on any NBA team, Get $150 in Free Bets if they win!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any team to win an NBA playoff game

Win $150 in free bets if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If A Goal Is Scored In ANY NHL Game!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NHL game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game scores a goal

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 on any UFC 274 fight!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any fighter to win at UFC 274

Win $150 in free bets if your fighter wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,100

Get up to $1,100 in First Bet Insurance!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.