Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 209 takes place on Saturday at the Accor Arena in Paris, France. This card features a heavyweight fight between Ciryl Gane and Tai Tuivasa as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this event, with odds of +381 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 209 predictions for the full 12-fight card.
UFC Fight Night 209 parlay (+381 odds)
Robert Whittaker vs Marvin Vettori: Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-250)
Robert Whittaker comes into this fight with a UFC record of 14-4. He is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 3.32 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.81 takedowns per every 15 minutes.
Vettori comes into this fight with a UFC record of 8-3-1. He is averaging 4.35 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 45%. He is absorbing 3.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is going to be extremely important in this fight as he is averaging 2.04 takedowns per every 15 minutes.
Whittaker is a heavy favorite here, but Vettori is still a guy that has the ability to pull off a huge upset. It is more likely that we will see a 3-round brawl that goes the distance, considering that 6 of Vettori’s last 7 fights have gone the distance and 6 of Whittaker’s last 7 fights have done the same. For that reason, backing this fight to also go the distance will be the play.
Abus Magomedov ML (-275) over Dustin Stoltzfus
Abus Magomedov comes into this fight with an MMA record of 24-4-1. He will be making his UFC debut here. Magomedov has 19 wins by finish in his career, 13 by KO/TKO and 6 by submission. This includes his last 2 fights, which were both by submission.
Despite this being the UFC debut for Magomedov, he is a heavy favorite in this fight. Dustin Stoltzfus has been very inconsistent in the UFC, going just 1-3 in his last 4 fights. Magomedov also has an impressive finish rate, therefore backing him to win in his debut will be the play.
Nassourdine Imavov vs Joaquin Buckley: Fight to go the Distance – No (-175)
Nassourdine Imavov is a heavy favorite, but the power that Joaquin Buckley has keeps him as a live dog. Eight of Buckley’s last 9 fights have ended inside the distance, while 5 of Imavov’s last 7 fights have done the same. They both have terrific finish rates, so backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be the top play.
Ailin Perez vs Stephanie Egger: Fight to go the Distance – No (-165)
One area consistent with both ladies is that they finish their fights. Stephanie Egger has seen 7 of her 10 fights end inside the distance, including 4 of her last 5 fights. Ailin Perz has seen 6 of her 8 career fights end inside the distance, including her last 4 fights in a row. For that reason, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be the lean.
Parlay these four UFC Fight Night 209 predictions for a potential payout at +381 odds!
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