Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 216 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a middleweight fight between Jared Cannonier vs Sean Strickland as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite parlay for this card, with odds of +918 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 216 predictions for all of the Main Card picks.
Julian Erosa ML over Alex Caceres (-170)
Julian Erosa comes into this fight with an MMA record of 28-10. He is 7-5 in the UFC, most recently beating Hakeem Dawodu by unanimous decision back in September of this year. Erosa is averaging 6.26 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. He is absorbing 6.30 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling has been solid, averaging 1.73 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 48% and his takedown defense is 61%.
Erosa is a modest favorite in this fight and looks to be the right side. He has the superior striking and grappling, so backing Erosa to extend his 3-fight UFC winning streak will be the play.
Drew Dober vs Bobby Green – Fight to go the Distance – No (+110)
Drew Dober is a medium-sized favorite in this fight, but with Bobby Green’s power it can be argued that Dober should be considered a live ‘dog. Green has seen 23 of his 43 career fights end by finish, including 2 of his last 3 fights in the UFC. Dober, on the other hand, has seen 23 of his 36 career fights end inside the distance — which includes 7 of his last 8 UFC fights. Because both guys have the ability to finish a fight or be finished in a fight, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.
Cody Brundage vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Fight to go the Distance – No (-280)
Michal Oleksiejczuk is a significant favorite in this fight, but Cody Brundage’s finishing ability certainly gives him a decent chance of pulling the upset. Brundage has seen 8 of his 10 career fights end inside the distance, while Oleksiejczuk has seen 18 of his 23 career fights do the same. Because they both have high finishing rates, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be the lean.
Bryan Battle ML over Rinat Fakhretdinov (+125)
Bryan Battle comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-1. He is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Takashi Sato by KO/TKO back in August of this year. Battle is averaging 7.18 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. He is absorbing 4.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 41%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.31 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 22% and his takedown defense is 55%.
Rinat Fakhretdinov is the favorite in this fight, but because Battle has superior striking and has yet to lose in the UFC, backing him to pull the slight upset will be the play.
Don’t miss our UFC Fight Night 216 best bets!
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