Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC on ESPN 32 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card will feature a featherweight fight as the main event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC on ESPN 32 that pays at odds of +438. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 32 predictions for the full 10-fight card.
Brian Kelleher ML (-310) vs Kevin Croom
Brian Kelleher comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-12. He is 7-5 in the UFC, most recently beating Domingo Pilarte by unanimous decision in August 2021. He is averaging 3.63 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Kelleher is absorbing 4.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.28 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 59%.
Kelleher is a huge favorite here and rightly so. He has the edge in striking and grappling, so even at this price, backing Kelleher looks to be the right play.
Ramiz Brahimaj ML (-115) vs Court McGee
Ramiz Brahimaj comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-3. He is 1-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Sasha Palatnikov by submission in August 2021. He is averaging 3.15 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 36%. Brahimaj is absorbing 5.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is much more effective, averaging 2.05 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1 submission attempt during the same time period. His takedown accuracy and takedown defense both sit at 100%.
This fight looks to be very even, but Brahimaj may have the edge when it comes to grappling. He has never been taken down in the UFC and all 9 of his career wins have come by submission. Court McGee on the other hand, has been too inconsistent to trust, winning just 1 of his last 4 fights. For that reason, backing Brahimaj to win will be the play.
Viacheslav Borshchev ML (-190) vs Dakota Bush
Viacheslav Borshchev comes into this fight with an MMA record of 5-1. He is 1-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Chris Duncan by TKO/KO in October 2021. That was actually a Dana White’s Contender Series event, so he will be making his official UFC debut here. He is averaging 7.50 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 67%. Borshchev is absorbing 6.59 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. He will likely not be looking to grapple, having not landed a takedown in that lone Contender Series fight. He also has a takedown defense of only 33%, so he still needs to be careful if this fight moves to the ground.
Even though this is his UFC debut, Borshchev looks to be the right side. He showed a ton of power in his Contender Series event and Dakota Bush has struggled to take fights to the ground. For that reason, backing Borshchev to win will be the play.
Giga Chikadze ML (-235) vs Calvin Kattar
As popular as Calvin Kattar has been, Giga Chikadze looks to be the right side here. Kattar took a beating against Max Holloway and while he was not knocked out, his chin still could be a concern. Chikadze has won 7 UFC fights in a row and could put himself in the conversation for a title shot with a win. For that reason, backing Chikadze will be the play.
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