Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC on ESPN 50 takes place on Saturday at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. This card features a catch weight fight between Cory Sandhagen and Rob Font as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC on ESPN 50 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC on ESPN 50 predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC on ESPN 50 Main Card best bets
Cory Sandhagen vs Rob Font – Over 3.5 Rounds (-145)
Cory Sandhagen is a significant favorite, making his money line too risky to bet. The more likely result is that this fight will go over 3.5 rounds. Sandhagen has seen his last 4 fights go over 3.5 rounds, while Rob Font has seen 3 of his last 4 fights do the same. For that reason, backing this fight to go over 3.5 rounds will be our play.
Aleksa Camur ML over Tanner Boser (+130)
Aleksa Camur comes into this fight with an MMA record of 6-2. He is 2-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Nicolae Negumereanu by split decision back in June of 2021. Camur is averaging 4.78 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. He is absorbing 3.15 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. Camur’s grappling is less than ideal, averaging 0.59 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 25% and a takedown defense of 50%.
Tanner Boser is a medium-sized favorite, but he has been poor in the UFC recently, winning just 1 of his last 5 fights. Camur has lost 2 fights in a row, but has the better striking and grappling ability. For that reason, backing Camur to pull the small upset will be the play
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Ludovit Klein ML over Ignacio Bahamondes (+190)
Ludovit Klein comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-4-1. He is 3-2-1 in the UFC, most recently drawing with Jai Herbert back in March of this year. Klein is averaging 3.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. He is absorbing 3.67 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. His grappling is decent, averaging 1.22 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 81%.
Ignacio Bahamondes is a heavy favorite in this fight, but Klein is the one who has a significant advantage in striking. Klein does not have much grappling, but rarely gets taken down. For that reason, backing Klein to pull the upset will be our play.
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