Matthew Lowrimore
Show Bio
UFC on ESPN 50 takes place on Saturday at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. This card features a catch weight fight between Cory Sandhagen and Rob Font as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +707 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 50 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
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Tatiana Suarez Win by Finish over Jessica Andrade (-150)
Suarez is an overwhelming favorite in this fight, making her money line not worth the risk. She has won 4 of her last 6 fights by finish, while Jessica Andrade has lost her last 2 UFC fights by finish. Suarez has the significant advantage in grappling, therefore backing her to win by finish will be our play.
Kennedy Nzechukwu ML over Dustin Jacoby (-148)
Kennedy Nzechukwu comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-3. He is 8-3 in the UFC, most recently beating Devin Clark by submission back in May of this year. Nzechukwu is averaging 4.89 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. He is absorbing 4.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.69 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 80%.
Nzechukwu is a moderate-sized favorite in this fight and looks to be the right side. He has been much more consistent recently, winning his last 3 UFC fights in a row, while Dustin Jacoby has lost his last 2 fights in a row. For that reason, backing Nzechukwu will be our play.
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Diego Lopes vs Gavin Tucker – Fight to go the Distance – No (-165)
Diego Lopes finds himself as a heavy favorite, but considering he has not won yet in the UFC, he is too risky to back. Instead, we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Lopes has seen 21 of his 27 career fights end inside the distance, including 2 of his last 3 fights. Gavin Tucker has seen 11 of his 15 career fights end inside the distance, which includes 3 of his last 4 UFC fights. For that reason, also backing this fight to end by finish will be our lean.
Jeremiah Wells ML over Carlston Harris (-125)
Jeremiah Wells comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-2-1 and 4-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.96 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Wells is absorbing 1.46 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling is elite, averaging 3.93 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown accuracy of 100%.
Wells is the small favorite in this fight, so even though Carlston Harris has the better striking, Wells has a significant advantage in grappling, therefore backing him to win will be our best bet.
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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.
