Wise n' Shine: NFL picks, MLB predictions and college football best bets for Thursday, September 29

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Phil Agius

NFL

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I've been writing about the NFL and a host of other sports for the UK's top daily betting paper the Racing Post for more than 20 years. An incurable Browns fan (1-31 survivor), I also specialise in all kinds of motorsport betting including F1, MotoGP, IndyCar and NASCAR. For Phil Agius media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Good morning, Pickswise Nation. NFL Week 4 starts tonight with Dolphins vs Bengals and we also have MLB, college football and golf action today, so let’s get straight to making your next bet better.

About Last Night

Great night on the diamond
The Pickswise MLB team conjured up some more midweek magic with an 11-4 day on ML/RL picks (8-7 O/U). We cashed our best bet of Guardian ML too as they beat the Rays 2-1 in the 10th. We also had a 2-0 day with our YRFI/NRFI best bets.

On the field, the big news was Aaron Judge equalling the AL single-season home-run record with his 61st dinger in an 8-3 win for the Yankees over the Blue Jays. That wasn’t the only record of the day, though, as the Dodgers set a new franchise record with their 107th win of the season, a 1-0 victory over the Padres. The Mets moved ahead of the Braves in the NL East title race, beating the Marlins 5-4 after Atlanta lost 3-2 to the Nationals.

Today’s Slate

NFL Week 4 is here
There are only 2 unbeaten teams left in the NFL and one of them puts their 0 on the line tonight as the 3-0 Miami Dolphins visit the 1-2 Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football at 8:15 pm ET on Amazon Prime. Read our full Dolphins vs Bengals predictions.

10-game slate in MLB
Thursday MLB slates are often smaller but today’s has at least made it into double digits, with 10 games on the schedule. The action gets going early with 4 afternoon games, while the Dodgers will be going for win #108 against the Padres at 9:40 pm ET. Read today’s MLB predictions.

College football Week 5 gets underway
The NCAAF Week 5 action starts tonight with Utah State facing BYU on ESPN at 8:00 pm ET. Read today’s college football picks.

Best Bet of the Day

NFL: Cincinnati Bengals over 26.5 team points vs Miami Dolphins (-105)
8:15 pm ET, Amazon Prime

This is a brutal turnaround for the Dolphins’ defense. They were on the field for 90 plays in stifling heat against Buffalo as the Bills had the ball for nearly 43 out of 60 minutes. Multiple players on both teams were cramping and complaining of dehydration during and after the game. Since 2000, defenses that were on the field for at least 90 plays allowed their next opponents to exceed their offensive team totals in 15 of 24 games, a rate of 63%. Outside of all the trends above, this Miami defense has not played well so far this season. They are 23rd in EPA per play allowed and 29th in success rate allowed. Check out our full Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals preview.

Must-watch

Enhance your betting knowledge by watching our daily show Let’s Bet It!, available at 10:00 am ET on our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/c/Pickswise.

Lauren Jbara and Jared Smith are your hosts today and they will be looking at all the best bets for Thursday Night Football, asking which college football teams have the most to prove and giving their best bets for today’s MLB slate before revealing their Plays of the Day.

You can also access LBI shows at any time through Spotify and Apple Podcasts (search for Let’s Bet It Presented By Pickswise).

Also, don’t miss the Week 4 episode of Pickswise Playbook, as Lauren, Jared and ex-NFL star Tank Williams name their biggest surprises of the NFL season so far and look at the big games in Week 4. They also zero in on the AFC West followed by Teaser Time and their Best Bets! You can watch the full show on our YouTube channel or simply watch the section on Thursday Night Football below:

Must-read

Our Thursday Night Football package includes Clevta’s best bet for the game, our Dolphins vs Bengals Same Game Parlay (+981 odds), TNF player prop picks and best TD scorer bets.

You won’t want to miss our MLB YRFI/NRFI best bets after yesterday’s 2-0 day, and as for college football, you can check out our  Week 5 Best Bets from Caleb Wilfinger, who has an incredible 8-1 record over the last 3 weeks!

Our expert golf analyst Diane Knox Balas also has the Sanderson Farms Championship best bets. for this week’s PGA Tour golf tournament.

There’s always plenty more great betting content on our Analysis tab.

Stat of the Day

The Dolphins have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.

Quote of the Day

“We’re all so proud of him and know how hard he works. He wants to keep it low-key, but boy, does he deserve it.”

Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole appreciates the home-run support he gets from Aaron Judge.

Pickswise is the home of free sports picks, news and best bets. Check out our expert NFL Picks, NBA Picks, MLB Picks and NHL Picks pages for our latest game picks.

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