Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/28/25

Amazingly, the loser of this massive AFC battle between the Ravens and Chiefs falls into a 1-3 hole through the first month of the season. Baltimore scored over 40 points in each of the first 2 weeks, but was held to 30 points in Monday’s 38-30 defeat to Detroit. Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson threw 3 touchdown passes, but was sacked 7 times as Baltimore slipped to 1-2 for the 2nd straight season. The Chiefs avoided an 0-3 start after knocking off the struggling Giants 22-9. Kansas City barely eclipsed 300 yards of offense, as the Chiefs picked up their 2nd cover in the last 7 games. Since the start of last season, the Chiefs have won 10 of 11 games at Arrowhead Stadium, with the one loss coming to the Eagles in Week 2.

The Ravens haven’t been able to slay the Chiefs in the last 2 meetings. Kansas City knocked out Baltimore in the 2023 AFC Championship, 17-10, as 4.5-point road underdogs. The Chiefs held off the Ravens in the 2024 season opener, 27-20, even though Baltimore outgained Kansas City by 99 yards. Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes hit the Over on his passing yards prop in the season-opening loss to the Chargers with 258 yards, but finished Under in that category each of the last 2 games. He faces a Baltimore defense that is allowing the most yards per game this season at 415 through 3 weeks. The Ravens have slumped to a 3-4 record in their last 7 road games, with all 4 losses in the favorite role. This marks the 2nd time this season that the Chiefs are a home underdog, a role they had not been in since the 2022 campaign in a loss to the Bills. All things considered, I think KC has upside in this matchup and should be able to keep within this number.

Ravens vs Chiefs prediction: Chiefs +2.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to 2.

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