Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills vs Carolina Panthers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/26/25

Bank of America StadiumFOX
Bills
4-2
Bills
Today
Panthers
4-3
Panthers
Carolina Panthers
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Bills vs Panthers Guest Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
BUF Bills -7.0(-115)

Buffalo is back from the bye week, looking to get on track following consecutive losses to New England and Atlanta. The Bills, who started the season at 4-0, are now sitting in 2nd place of the AFC East behind the 5-2 Patriots. Buffalo heads to Carolina to face the Panthers, who are set to start veteran Andy Dalton at QB in place of the injured Bryce Young. The Panthers began the season with road defeats at Jacksonville and Arizona, but Carolina stormed back with 4 wins in their last 5 games. Carolina owns a perfect 3-0 home record this season and held off the winless Jets, 13-6 at Met Life Stadium last Sunday. Young sustained a right ankle injury in the 3rd quarter and was replaced by Dalton, who threw for 60 yards in relief.

The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games, coming off the 24-14 Monday night loss to the Falcons in Week 6. QB Josh Allen has thrown multiple TD passes in 4 consecutive games, but last season’s MVP has been intercepted 3 times in the past 2 losses. In both road games, Allen has completed 56.9% of his passes, compared to 73.2% of his attempts at home.

Buffalo has lost 4 of its past 6 away games since last December, while Carolina is 4-0 in its previous 4 home contests. Dalton won his first start with the Panthers last season, but proceeded to drop his next 4 games before Young returned to the lineup. Buffalo ranks 3rd in the NFL in yards per game at 378.3, while Carolina is 7th defensively in yards allowed at 295.7 per game. Carolina has been an underdog in all 3 home games and were close to losing twice to Miami and Dallas. Buffalo will be a public play here, but it’s hard to think the Bills won’t be ready off the bye week trying to snap a 2-game slide against a veteran backup at quarterback for Carolina.

Bills vs Panthers prediction: Buffalo Bills -7 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 8.

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Kevin Rogers
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.5(-110)

Buffalo topped the 30-point mark in each of its 4 victories to begin the season, but has been limited to 34 points in its last 2 losses. The Bills scored a total of one touchdown in the first half against the Patriots and Falcons after posting a pair of TDs in the opening half in each of the previous 3 wins. Carolina has cleared the Over in each of its last 2 home games against Miami and Dallas before easily cashing the under against the offensively-inept Jets in last week’s 13-6 victory. The Panthers deserve credit for exploding at home, scoring 30, 27, and 30 points in 3 games at Bank of America Stadium, as opposed to being held to 13 points or fewer in 3 of 4 road games.

In Andy Dalton’s 5 starts last season, Carolina hit the over 4 times, including a combined 50 points scored 3 times. Sunday’s total is hovering between 45.5 and 46.5 at most books, as Buffalo is 2-0 to the under on the road. This will be the lowest total that the Bills have seen all season, as they have cashed the over on a pair of totals of 50 or higher. However, 5 of the past 7 times as a road favorite, the Bills have combined for 43 or less points. Buffalo’s defense ranks 2nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game at 167.2, while Carolina is 26th in the league in passing offense, although that was all with Bryce Young at quarterback.

The Panthers have played some wild games at home recently, which included a 30-27 victory over the Cowboys, who rank 1st in the NFL in offense and last in defense. With Carolina taking on a much better defense on Sunday, expect a lower-scoring affair here in Dalton’s first start of the season.

Bills vs Panthers pick: Under 45.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Kevin Rogers
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Kevin Rogers

Kevin covers the NFL for Pickswise from sunny south Florida. He has been handicapping the NFL professionally since 2007, as well the NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, and college basketball. He looks forward to a profitable season at Pickswise.
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